英文标题：
《Complexity, economic science and possible economic benefits of climate
  change mitigation policy》
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作者：
J.F. Mercure and H. Pollitt and U. Chewpreecha and P. Salas and A.
  Foley and P. B. Holden and N. R. Edwards
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最新提交年份：
2015
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英文摘要：
  Conventional economic analysis of stringent climate change mitigation policy generally concludes various levels of economic slowdown as a result of substantial spending on low carbon technology. Equilibrium economics however could not explain or predict the current economic crisis, which is of financial nature. Meanwhile the economic impacts of climate policy find their source through investments for the diffusion of environmental innovations, in parts a financial problem. Here, we expose how results of economic analysis of climate change mitigation policy depend entirely on assumptions and theory concerning the finance of the diffusion of innovations, and that in many cases, results are simply re-iterations of model assumptions. We show that, while equilibrium economics always predict economic slowdown, methods using non-equilibrium approaches suggest the opposite could occur. We show that the solution to understanding the economic impacts of reducing greenhouse gas emissions lies with research on the dynamics of the financial sector interacting with innovation and technology developments, economic history providing powerful insights through important analogies with previous historical waves of innovation.
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中文摘要：
对严格的气候变化缓解政策进行的常规经济分析通常得出结论，由于在低碳技术上的大量支出，经济放缓的程度各不相同。然而，均衡经济学无法解释或预测当前的金融危机。与此同时，气候政策的经济影响通过对环境创新扩散的投资找到了来源，这在一定程度上是一个财政问题。在这里，我们揭示了气候变化缓解政策的经济分析结果如何完全依赖于有关创新扩散资金的假设和理论，在许多情况下，结果只是模型假设的重新迭代。我们表明，虽然均衡经济学总是预测经济放缓，但使用非均衡方法的方法表明，可能会发生相反的情况。我们表明，理解减少温室气体排放的经济影响的解决方案在于研究金融部门与创新和技术发展相互作用的动态，经济史通过与以往创新浪潮的重要类比提供了有力的见解。
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分类信息：

一级分类：Physics        物理学
二级分类：Physics and Society        物理学与社会
分类描述：Structure, dynamics and collective behavior of societies and groups (human or otherwise). Quantitative analysis of social networks and other complex networks. Physics and engineering of infrastructure and systems of broad societal impact (e.g., energy grids, transportation networks).
社会和团体（人类或其他）的结构、动态和集体行为。社会网络和其他复杂网络的定量分析。具有广泛社会影响的基础设施和系统（如能源网、运输网络）的物理和工程。
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一级分类：Physics        物理学
二级分类：Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics        大气与海洋物理
分类描述：Atmospheric and oceanic physics and physical chemistry, biogeophysics, and climate science
大气和海洋物理和物理化学，生物地球物理和气候科学
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一级分类：Quantitative Finance        数量金融学
二级分类：General Finance        一般财务
分类描述：Development of general quantitative methodologies with applications in finance
通用定量方法的发展及其在金融中的应用
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