英文标题：
《Explaining the Mechanism of Growth in the Past Two Million Years Vol. I》
---
作者：
Ron W. Nielsen
---
最新提交年份：
2017
---
英文摘要：
  Economic growth and the growth of human population in the past 2,000,000 years are extensively examined. Data are found to be in a clear contradiction of the currently accepted explanations of the mechanism of growth, which revolve around two fundamental but incorrect doctrines: (1) the doctrine of stagnation (inappropriately labelled also as Malthusian stagnation, because Malthus never claimed that his positive checks would cause a long-lasting and wide-spread stagnation) and (2) the doctrine of explosion described also as a takeoff, sprint, spike or by other similar attributes. These doctrines and other related postulates are contradicted even by precisely the same data, which are used in the economic research and by the research results published in a prestigious scientific journal as early as in 1960. The generally accepted explanations are not based on a rigorous analysis of data but on impressions created by the easily misleading features of hyperbolic distributions. Two leading theories: the Demographic Transitions Theory (or Model) and the Unified Growth Theory are fundamentally incorrect. Descriptions of the past socio-economic conditions are not questioned. They might have been harsh, difficult and primitive but they are not reflected in the growth trajectories. They did not create stagnation in the economic growth and in the growth of population. Likewise, impacts of the Industrial Revolution on many aspects of life are not questioned. It is only demonstrated that this event had absolutely no impact on shaping growth trajectories. A general law of growth is formulated and used to explain the mechanism of growth of human population and of economic growth. The growth was predominantly hyperbolic. Such a growth is described by exceptionally simple mathematical function and the explanation of the mechanism of growth turns out to be also simple.
---
中文摘要：
对过去200万年的经济增长和人口增长进行了广泛的研究。发现数据与目前公认的增长机制解释存在明显矛盾，它围绕着两个基本但不正确的学说：（1）停滞学说（也被不恰当地称为马尔萨斯停滞，因为马尔萨斯从未声称他的阳性检查会导致长期和广泛的停滞）和（2）爆炸学说也被描述为起飞、冲刺、尖刺或其他类似属性。这些学说和其他相关假设甚至与经济研究中使用的数据以及早在1960年就在一家著名科学杂志上发表的研究结果完全相同，但它们却相互矛盾。普遍接受的解释不是基于对数据的严格分析，而是基于容易误导的双曲线分布特征所产生的印象。两种主流理论：人口转变理论（或模型）和统一增长理论从根本上是错误的。对过去社会经济状况的描述不受质疑。它们可能是苛刻、困难和原始的，但它们并没有反映在增长轨迹中。它们没有造成经济增长和人口增长的停滞。同样，工业革命对生活许多方面的影响也不容质疑。仅证明这一事件对形成增长轨迹没有任何影响。制定了一般增长规律，并用于解释人口增长和经济增长的机制。增长主要是双曲线增长。这种增长是用非常简单的数学函数描述的，对增长机制的解释也很简单。
---
分类信息：

一级分类：Quantitative Finance        数量金融学
二级分类：Economics        经济学
分类描述：q-fin.EC is an alias for econ.GN. Economics, including micro and macro economics, international economics, theory of the firm, labor economics, and other economic topics outside finance
q-fin.ec是econ.gn的别名。经济学，包括微观和宏观经济学、国际经济学、企业理论、劳动经济学和其他金融以外的经济专题
--

---
PDF下载：
-->