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JJ协整检验结果如下图:
1 Cointegrating Equation(s): Log likelihood 39.61892
Normalized cointegrating coefficients (standard error in parentheses)
EXQH GDPFN REER
1.000000 -3.619279 2.293744
(0.32578) (0.51456)
Adjustment coefficients (standard error in parentheses)
D(EXQH) 0.236580
(0.12230)
D(GDPFN) 0.269348
(0.07827)
D(REER) -0.098037
这里面怎么没有常数项啊?求各位大侠帮忙
VEC模型检验结果如下: Vector Error Correction Estimates
Date: 06/07/11 Time: 19:47
Sample (adjusted): 1988 2009
Included observations: 22 after adjustments
Standard errors in ( ) & t-statistics in [ ]
Cointegrating Eq: CointEq1
EXQH(-1) 1.000000
GDPFN(-1) -3.816569
(0.34644)
[-11.0165]
REER(-1) 2.099847
(0.51291)
[ 4.09396]
C 0.905634
Error Correction: D(EXQH) D(GDPFN) D(REER)
CointEq1 0.350921 0.319939 -0.091175
(0.23819) (0.14409) (0.09305)
[ 1.47329] [ 2.22042] [-0.97983]
D(EXQH(-1)) -0.728658 -0.318848 0.001084
(0.51339) (0.31057) (0.20056)
[-1.41931] [-1.02666] [ 0.00541]
D(EXQH(-2)) -0.229663 0.059131 0.112313
(0.37374) (0.22609) (0.14601)
[-0.61449] [ 0.26154] [ 0.76923]
D(GDPFN(-1)) 1.078944 0.284351 -0.271281
(0.58652) (0.35481) (0.22913)
[ 1.83958] [ 0.80143] [-1.18397]
D(GDPFN(-2)) 0.234778 0.340064 0.140637
(0.49536) (0.29966) (0.19352)
[ 0.47396] [ 1.13483] [ 0.72674]
D(REER(-1)) -0.977054 -0.102989 0.017549
(0.56651) (0.34271) (0.22131)
[-1.72468] [-0.30052] [ 0.07929]
D(REER(-2)) -0.465115 0.122355 -0.320447
(0.54531) (0.32988) (0.21303)
[-0.85294] [ 0.37091] [-1.50424]
C 0.133108 0.033081 -0.021459
(0.09349) (0.05656) (0.03652)
[ 1.42378] [ 0.58493] [-0.58754]
R-squared 0.376782 0.545246 0.390913
Adj. R-squared 0.065173 0.317869 0.086369
Sum sq. resids 1.014836 0.371378 0.154879
S.E. equation 0.269236 0.162871 0.105180
F-statistic 1.209149 2.397984 1.283601
Log likelihood 2.622826 13.68071 23.30101
Akaike AIC 0.488834 -0.516428 -1.391001
Schwarz SC 0.885577 -0.119685 -0.994258
Mean dependent 0.083313 0.021733 -0.002082
S.D. dependent 0.278463 0.197201 0.110039
Determinant resid covariance (dof adj.) 1.49E-05
Determinant resid covariance 3.84E-06
Log likelihood 43.51309
Akaike information criterion -1.501190
Schwarz criterion -0.162183