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论坛 计量经济学与统计论坛 五区 计量经济学与统计软件
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2007-05-24

计量分析越来越复杂。经常会碰到一个问题不知道怎么解决。

计量经济学就是在解决一个个问题的基础上逐渐形成发展形成现在的理论体系的。

请牛人们一起来描画出经济计量分析路线图,从数据分析、模型设计、到计量检验等等各个阶段,都会遇到的各种问题及其解决办法,都列出来。这相当于是搞实证研究的一个入门导引。

请斑竹给有功之人给以金钱奖励(可惜我自己不多,要不我就给了的)。

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2007-5-25 04:23:00
好主意,福泽后人的壮举, 可惜我的水平差些.
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2007-6-4 16:36:00

很不错

希望大家支持楼主

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2007-6-5 22:48:00
其实计量的核心就是寻找具有一致性、无偏性和有效性的统计量~~
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2007-6-6 03:09:00

你好,抛砖引玉。难免有错,请大家修正。我呢,就当自己复习一下

A,ECONOMIC DATA
there are three kinds of economic data: quantitative (cardinal), ordinal(ordered), qualitative.

the ordinary can not use in the econometrics model. coz they do not express any quatily measures. for example: how much you love your job? 5: very much 4: like 3: do not like or hate 2: do not like 1: hate.

the qualitative sometimes called indicator wariable or binary or Boolean variable. more often, dummy variable.

INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLE ESTIMATORS
three kinds things to violate the zero-conditional-mean assumption: endogeneity, ommitted-variable bias, and errors in cariables. the solution is the same. IV

B,BASIC Model ASSUMPTIONS

一,classic model

For finite model, assumptions are

1,linearity ,to make sure that the model is correct, if the model is not linearly , the estimation methods can not used. Sometimes the model are not linear, we can change it to the linearly one.

2,strict exgoneity ,this is can be violated and cause the series correlation problem.

3,no multicorrelation. This is only for calculation, nothing special

4,homo, this is also can be violated and become the heter problem

If we need test, we need normality assumption. Of course, it is just a popular assumption, somebody pointed out normality is not a perfect assumption

For large sample.

The assumptions are

1, linearity (同FINITE SAMPLE)

2,predetermined, this is weaker than the a2 in finite, but it is more practical.

3ergodic and stationary, this is like the iid which is useful to get the CLT and combind the data with normality

4,g is mds whith 2nd finite moment, this is to make sure that the s is consistent.

5, rank condition(identification for iv), this is only for calculation, too.

We do not need the normality assumption thanks to the CLT.

And the home assumption makes the estimation much easier.

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2007-6-6 03:12:00

the clues to study econometrics

1,assumption:understand why we need this assuption
2,estimator and the methods. here, the exams often have this kind of questions: why we do not use ols estimation. or what is we use ols estimation here. we can consider 2 things. biasdness and consistency.
3,test, normally to test estimator, we have 3 methods: simple. multiple, nonlinear
4,how to test the model assumptions? eg, heter, using white, serrial corrlation, using box, dubin, overidentification, using j stataistic,unit root, using df, adf.
5, special method of estimation, eg, gls, wls, 2sls, five, 3sls, sur,understand the conditions of these metods
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