做了单位根检验,两个序列服从I(1),对序列进行一阶差分之后进行协整检验,一阶差分之后数据出现负值,协整结果出现两个协整关系,但是只有两个序列啊。求高人指点啊~
检验结果如下: Sample (adjusted): 1997M06 2012M12
Included observations: 187 after adjustments
Trend assumption: Linear deterministic trend (restricted)
Series: DX DY
Lags interval (in first differences): 1 to 3
Unrestricted Cointegration Rank Test (Trace)
Hypothesized Trace 0.05
No. of CE(s) Eigenvalue Statistic Critical Value Prob.**
None * 0.214132 61.22169 25.87211 0.0000
At most 1 * 0.082793 16.16096 12.51798 0.0118
Trace test indicates 2 cointegrating eqn(s) at the 0.05 level
* denotes rejection of the hypothesis at the 0.05 level
**MacKinnon-Haug-Michelis (1999) p-values
Unrestricted Cointegration Rank Test (Maximum Eigenvalue)
Hypothesized Max-Eigen 0.05
No. of CE(s) Eigenvalue Statistic Critical Value Prob.**
None * 0.214132 45.06073 19.38704 0.0000
At most 1 * 0.082793 16.16096 12.51798 0.0118
Max-eigenvalue test indicates 2 cointegrating eqn(s) at the 0.05 level
* denotes rejection of the hypothesis at the 0.05 level
**MacKinnon-Haug-Michelis (1999) p-values
Unrestricted Cointegrating Coefficients (normalized by b'*S11*b=I):
DX DY @TREND(97M02)
21.44882 -662.6463 -0.001132
10.78201 534.2184 0.000890