军少 发表于 2013-6-6 22:35 
亲,这是显著水平啊,如果你看t统计量的话,确实需要查表,查t检验的临界值。
如果通过看P值就不要了
Hypothesized Trace 0.05
No. of CE(s) Eigenvalue Statistic Critical Value Prob.**
None * 0.585363 36.36132 29.79707 0.0076
At most 1 0.327819 11.71148 15.49471 0.1713
At most 2 0.020820 0.589119 3.841466 0.4428
Trace test indicates 1 cointegrating eqn(s) at the 0.05 level
* denotes rejection of the hypothesis at the 0.05 level
**MacKinnon-Haug-Michelis (1999) p-values
Unrestricted Cointegration Rank Test (Maximum Eigenvalue)
Hypothesized Max-Eigen 0.05
No. of CE(s) Eigenvalue Statistic Critical Value Prob.**
None * 0.585363 24.64984 21.13162 0.0153
At most 1 0.327819 11.12236 14.26460 0.1482
At most 2 0.020820 0.589119 3.841466 0.4428
Max-eigenvalue test indicates 1 cointegrating eqn(s) at the 0.05 level
* denotes rejection of the hypothesis at the 0.05 level
**MacKinnon-Haug-Michelis (1999) p-values
Unrestricted Cointegrating Coefficients (normalized by b'*S11*b=I):
A ER G
27.27104 34.04127 -70.88516
12.58978 22.47092 -88.20598
3.967770 -7.230379 -118.2844
Unrestricted Adjustment Coefficients (alpha):
D(A) -0.017609 0.000392 0.003926
D(ER) 0.000715 -0.005643 -0.000100
D(G) 0.002355 0.000260 0.000215
1 Cointegrating Equation(s): Log likelihood 275.6761
Normalized cointegrating coefficients (standard error in parentheses)
A ER G
1.000000 1.248257 -2.599283
(0.10388) (0.86492)
我确实是第一次弄实证。。导师布置的,弄了两个星期了,感觉生活都黑暗了。。天天搜方法,唉。那你帮我看看把,p值是上面的0.0076把。我看别人文献里写的下面括号的t值显著不显著,我就是不知道那是啥意思