为什么如下程序预测不出下几期的具体数值?我用的是sas9.1.3版本。可否请高人解答,不胜感激。
data mianyang; input x@@; t=intnx('year','1jan1867'd,_n_-1); format t year4.; cards;2203 2360 2254 2165 2024 2078 2214 2292 2207 2119 2119 21372132 1955 1785 1747 1818 1909 1958 1892 1919 1853 1868 19912111 2119 1991 1859 1856 1924 1892 1916 1968 1928 1898 18501841 1824 1823 1843 1880 1968 2029 1996 1933 1805 1713 17261752 1795 1717 1648 1512 1338 1383 1344 1384 1484 1597 16861707 1640 1611 1632 1775 1850 1809 1653 1648 1665 1627 1791. . . . . . . . ;proc gplot data=mianyang; plot x*t; symbol i=join v=star ci=red cv=black w=2;run;proc autoreg data=mianyang; model x=t/nlag=5dwprob archtest; model x=t/nlag=2garch=(p=1,q=1); output out=out p=xp;proc gplot data=out; plot x*t=2 xp*t=3/overlay; symbol2 i=none v=star c=black; symbol3i=join v=none c=red w=2;run;proc print data=out noobs;run;