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动态面板GMM求助,AR检验怎么不显示啊?显著性都很好,sargan检验也通过了,就是AR检验没有值啊。如果去掉一些变量AR检验就有数值,但是显著性不好,怎么办?另外,那两个warning什么意思啊?
钱比较少,希望各位大神帮忙啊!
结果如下:
. xtabond2 rl l.rl gt lnrgdp ky soe thi fdi open fi gl i.year dum_west dum_east,gmm(l.rl l.lnrgdp l.lnrgdp2 l.ky l.soe open th
> i fdi fi gl,lag(2 2) collapse) iv(gt i.year dum_west dum_east) twostep
Favoring space over speed. To switch, type or click on mata: mata set matafavor speed, perm.
2b.year dropped due to collinearity
3.year dropped due to collinearity
Warning: Number of instruments may be large relative to number of observations.
Warning: Two-step estimated covariance matrix of moments is singular.
Using a generalized inverse to calculate optimal weighting matrix for two-step estimation.
Difference-in-Sargan/Hansen statistics may be negative.
Dynamic panel-data estimation, two-step system GMM
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Group variable: province Number of obs = 364
Time variable : year Number of groups = 26
Number of instruments = 37 Obs per group: min = 14
Wald chi2(25) = 5.11e+06 avg = 14.00
Prob > chi2 = 0.000 max = 14
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rl | Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
rl |
L1. | 2.849745 .8055006 3.54 0.000 1.270993 4.428497
|
gt | -.2495237 .1165946 -2.14 0.032 -.4780449 -.0210024
lnrgdp | -.9439891 .4347736 -2.17 0.030 -1.79613 -.0918485
ky | 64.69934 29.41881 2.20 0.028 7.039525 122.3592
soe | -11.01314 5.159043 -2.13 0.033 -21.12468 -.9015998
thi | -1.188109 .5610962 -2.12 0.034 -2.287838 -.0883811
fdi | -182.3533 80.86827 -2.25 0.024 -340.8522 -23.85442
open | 9.968329 4.551683 2.19 0.029 1.047195 18.88946
fi | -7.52447 3.446568 -2.18 0.029 -14.27962 -.7693205
gl | 111.6194 51.32659 2.17 0.030 11.02111 212.2176
|
year |
4 | .2001911 .0815059 2.46 0.014 .0404424 .3599397
5 | -1.381925 .6567607 -2.10 0.035 -2.669152 -.0946973
6 | -1.095133 .5385101 -2.03 0.042 -2.150593 -.0396725
7 | 2.114329 .929366 2.28 0.023 .2928056 3.935853
8 | 5.180252 2.328658 2.22 0.026 .6161665 9.744338
9 | 5.901065 2.609276 2.26 0.024 .7869783 11.01515
10 | 6.193774 2.751777 2.25 0.024 .8003906 11.58716
11 | 6.995334 3.0743 2.28 0.023 .9698179 13.02085
12 | 6.462855 2.737467 2.36 0.018 1.097519 11.82819
13 | 3.66676 1.598738 2.29 0.022 .5332913 6.800228
14 | 3.279228 1.355926 2.42 0.016 .6216626 5.936793
15 | 1.964102 .6981917 2.81 0.005 .5956712 3.332533
16 | .4130064 .1673126 2.47 0.014 .0850798 .740933
|
dum_west | -8.700682 3.981804 -2.19 0.029 -16.50487 -.89649
dum_east | .6936254 .2999028 2.31 0.021 .1058268 1.281424
_cons | -11.50036 5.22828 -2.20 0.028 -21.7476 -1.25312
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Warning: Uncorrected two-step standard errors are unreliable.
Instruments for first differences equation
Standard
D.(gt 2b.year 3.year 4.year 5.year 6.year 7.year 8.year 9.year 10.year
11.year 12.year 13.year 14.year 15.year 16.year dum_west dum_east)
GMM-type (missing=0, separate instruments for each period unless collapsed)
L2.(L.rl L.lnrgdp L.lnrgdp2 L.ky L.soe open thi fdi fi gl) collapsed
Instruments for levels equation
Standard
gt 2b.year 3.year 4.year 5.year 6.year 7.year 8.year 9.year 10.year
11.year 12.year 13.year 14.year 15.year 16.year dum_west dum_east
_cons
GMM-type (missing=0, separate instruments for each period unless collapsed)
DL.(L.rl L.lnrgdp L.lnrgdp2 L.ky L.soe open thi fdi fi gl) collapsed
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Arellano-Bond test for AR(1) in first differences: z = . Pr > z = .
Arellano-Bond test for AR(2) in first differences: z = . Pr > z = .
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Sargan test of overid. restrictions: chi2(11) = 7.83 Prob > chi2 = 0.729
(Not robust, but not weakened by many instruments.)
Hansen test of overid. restrictions: chi2(11) = 0.00 Prob > chi2 = 1.000
(Robust, but weakened by many instruments.)