以下是我的输出结果,我的版本是6.20.
第一种是用BHHH算法估计的
MV-GARCH, BEKK - Estimation by BHHH
Convergence in 1 Iterations. Final criterion was NA < 0.0000100
Daily(5) Data From 2005:09:14 To 2007:10:31
Usable Observations 532
Total Observations 556 Skipped/Missing 24
Log Likelihood NA
Variable Coeff Std Error T-Stat Signif
*******************************************************************************
1. Mean(1) NA 0.000000 0.00000 0.00000000
2. Mean(2) NA 0.000000 0.00000 0.00000000
3. C(1,1) NA 0.000000 0.00000 0.00000000
4. C(2,1) NA 0.000000 0.00000 0.00000000
5. C(2,2) NA 0.000000 0.00000 0.00000000
6. A(1,1) NA 0.000000 0.00000 0.00000000
7. A(1,2) NA 0.000000 0.00000 0.00000000
8. A(2,1) NA 0.000000 0.00000 0.00000000
9. A(2,2) NA 0.000000 0.00000 0.00000000
10. B(1,1) NA 0.000000 0.00000 0.00000000
11. B(1,2) NA 0.000000 0.00000 0.00000000
12. B(2,1) NA 0.000000 0.00000 0.00000000
13. B(2,2) NA 0.000000 0.00000 0.00000000
14. D(1,1) NA 0.000000 0.00000 0.00000000
15. D(1,2) NA 0.000000 0.00000 0.00000000
16. D(2,1) NA 0.000000 0.00000 0.00000000
17. D(2,2) NA 0.000000 0.00000 0.00000000
18. Shape NA 0.000000 0.00000 0.00000000
第二种是用BFGS算法估计的
GARCH(P=1,Q=1,MV=BEKK,method=BHHH,RVECTORS=RESI,HMATRICES=VARI,DIST=T,ASYMMETRIC) / FWDDIFF NDFDIFF
MV-GARCH, BEKK - Estimation by BFGS
NO CONVERGENCE IN 4 ITERATIONS
LAST CRITERION WAS 0.0000000
SUBITERATIONS LIMIT EXCEEDED. ESTIMATION POSSIBLY HAS STALLED OR MACHINE ROUNDOFF IS MAKING FURTHER PROGRESS DIFFICULT.
TRY HIGHER SUBITERATIONS LIMIT, TIGHTER CVCRIT, DIFFERENT SETTING FOR EXACTLINE OR ALPHA ON NLPAR.
RESTARTING ESTIMATION FROM LAST ESTIMATES OR DIFFERENT INITIAL GUESSES MIGHT ALSO WORK
Daily(5) Data From 2005:09:14 To 2007:10:31
Usable Observations 532
Total Observations 556 Skipped/Missing 24
Log Likelihood NA
Variable Coeff Std Error T-Stat Signif
*******************************************************************************
1. Mean(1) -0.00017 0.00014 -1.21273 0.22523389
2. Mean(2) -0.00017 0.00012 -1.37521 0.16906733
3. C(1,1) 0.00102 0.00013 7.73581 0.00000000
4. C(2,1) 0.00066 0.00019 3.54879 0.00038700
5. C(2,2) 0.00079 0.00012 6.50627 0.00000000
6. A(1,1) 0.05000 1.72421 0.02900 0.97686553
7. A(1,2) 0.05000 2.10118 0.02380 0.98101525
8. A(2,1) 0.05000 0.86017 0.05813 0.95364674
9. A(2,2) 0.05000 1.30620 0.03828 0.96946517
10. B(1,1) 0.05000 1.64246 0.03044 0.97571445
11. B(1,2) 0.05000 1.91498 0.02611 0.97916968
12. B(2,1) 0.05000 1.61198 0.03102 0.97525544
13. B(2,2) 0.05000 1.87957 0.02660 0.97877729
14. D(1,1) 0.00000 86182.73022 0.00000 1.00000000
15. D(1,2) 0.00000 70233.54751 0.00000 1.00000000
16. D(2,1) 0.00000 31689.71694 0.00000 1.00000000
17. D(2,2) 0.00000 4044.55077 0.00000 1.00000000
18. Shape 5.00000 2.23938 2.23276 0.02556462
渴望寻求论坛上的前辈们指点!谢谢!!