社会计算、行为-文化建模与预测（英文版，2012）
Consensus under Constraints: Modeling the Great English Vowel
Shift . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1
Kiran Lakkaraju, Samarth Swarup, and Les Gasser
A Study of Informational Support Exchanges in MedHelp Alcoholism
Community . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9
Katherine Y. Chuang and Christopher C. Yang
Real-World Behavior Analysis through a Social Media Lens . . . . . . . . . . . 18
Mohammad-Ali Abbasi, Sun-Ki Chai, Huan Liu, and Kiran Sagoo
The Mythology of Game Theory . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27
Mathew D. McCubbins, Mark Turner, and Nicholas Weller
Crowdsourced Cyber Defense: Lessons from a Large-Scale, Game-Based
Approach to Threat Identification on a Live Network . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35
Barton Paulhamus, Alison Ebaugh, C.C. Boylls, Nathan Bos,
Sandy Hider, and Stephen Giguere
How Many Makes a Crowd? On the Evolution of Learning as a Factor
of Community Coverage . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43
Yaniv Altshuler, Michael Fire, Nadav Aharony, Yuval Elovici, and
Alex (Sandy) Pentland
Cultural Consensus Theory: Aggregating Signed Graphs under a
Balance Constraint . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53
Kalin Agrawal and William H. Batchelder
Using Organizational Similarity to Identify Statistical Interactions for
Improving Situational Awareness of CBRN Activities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 61
David Melamed, Eric Schoon, Ronald Breiger, Victor Asal, and
R. Karl Rethemeyer
Opinion Dynamics in Gendered Social Networks: An Examination of
Female Engagement Teams in Afghanistan . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 69
Thomas W. Moore, Patrick D. Finley, Ryan J. Hammer, and
Robert J. Glass
Socio-cultural Evolution of Opinion Dynamics in Networked
Societies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 78
Subhadeep Chakraborty and Matthew M. Mench
A Comparative Study of Smoking Cessation Intervention Programs on
Social Media . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 87
Mi Zhang, Christopher C. Yang, and Jiexun Li
Trends Prediction Using Social Diffusion Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 97
Yaniv Altshuler, Wei Pan, and Alex (Sandy) Pentland
Towards Democratic Group Detection in Complex Networks . . . . . . . . . . . 105
Michele Coscia, Fosca Giannotti, and Dino Pedreschi
Addiction Dynamics May Explain the Slow Decline of Smoking
Prevalence . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 114
Gaurav Tuli, Madhav Marathe, S.S. Ravi, and Samarth Swarup
Love All, Trust a Few: Link Prediction for Trust and Psycho-social
Factors in MMOs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 123
Muhammad Aurangzeb Ahmad, Zoheb Borbora,
Jaideep Srivastava, and Noshir Contractor
Effect of In/Out-Degree Correlation on Influence Degree of Two
Contrasting Information Diffusion Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 131
Kouzou Ohara, Kazumi Saito, Masahiro Kimura, and Hiroshi Motoda
A Computer-in-the-Loop Approach for Detecting Bullies in the
Classroom . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 139
Juan F. Mancilla-Caceres, Wen Pu, Eyal Amir, and
Dorothy Espelage
Beyond Validation: Alternative Uses and Associated Assessments of
Goodness for Computational Social Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 147
Jessica Glicken Turnley, Peter A. Chew, and Aaron S. Perls
Predicting Recent Links in FOAF Networks . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 156
Hung-Hsuan Chen, Liang Gou, Xiaolong (Luke) Zhang, and
C. Lee Giles
Mapping the Twitterverse in the Developing World: An Analysis of
Social Media Use in Nigeria . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 164
Clayton Fink, Jonathon Kopecky, Nathan Bos, and Max Thomas
Modeling Infection with Multi-agent Dynamics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 172
Wen Dong, Katherine Heller, and Alex (Sandy) Pentland
Dynamic Multi-chain Graphical Model for Psychosocial and Behavioral
Profiles in Childhood Obesity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 180
Edward H. Ip, Qiang Zhang, and Don Williamson
The Imperative for Social Competency Prediction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 188
Robert Hubal
Partitioning Signed Bipartite Graphs for Classification of Individuals
and Organizations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 196
Sujogya Banerjee, Kaushik Sarkar, Sedat Gokalp,
Arunabha Sen, and Hasan Davulcu
Information and Attitude Diffusion in Networks . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 205
Wai-Tat Fu and Q. Vera Liao
Using Mixed-Mode Networks to Disentangle Multiple Sources of Social
Influence . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 214
Kayo Fujimoto
Implicit Group Membership Detection in Online Text: Analysis and
Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 222
Jeffrey Ellen, Joan Kaina, and Shibin Parameswaran
Automatic Crime Prediction Using Events Extracted from Twitter
Posts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 231
Xiaofeng Wang, Matthew S. Gerber, and Donald E. Brown
Dynamic, Covert Network Simulation. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 239
Patrick O’Neil
Computing the Value of a Crowd . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 248
Manas S. Hardas and Lisa Purvis
Mnemonic Convergence: From Empirical Data to Large-Scale
Dynamics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 256
Alin Coman, Andreas Kolling, Michael Lewis, and William Hirst
Sizing Strategies in Scarce Environments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 266
Michael D. Mitchell, Walter E. Beyeler, Robert E. Glass,
Matthew Antognoli, and Thomas W. Moore
Applying System Dynamics to Military Operations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 274
Corey Lofdahl
Lessons Learned in Using Social Media for Disaster Relief - ASU Crisis
Response Game . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 282
Mohammad-Ali Abbasi, Shamanth Kumar,
Jose Augusto Andrade Filho, and Huan Liu
Intergroup Prisoner’s Dilemma with Intragroup Power Dynamics and
Individual Power Drive . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 290
Ion Juvina, Christian Lebiere, Cleotilde Gonzalez, and
Muniba Saleem
Modeling South African Service Protests Using the National
Operational Environment Model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 298
Chris Thron, John Salerno, Adam Kwiat, Philip Dexter, and
Jason Smith
Modeling and Estimating Individual and Population Obesity
Dynamics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 306
Hazhir Rahmandad and Nasim S. Sabounchi
Creating Interaction Environments: Defining a Two-Sided Market
Model of the Development and Dominance of Platforms. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 314
Walter E. Beyeler, Andjelka Kelic, Patrick D. Finley, Munaf Aamir,
Alexander Outkin, Stephen Conrad, Michael D. Mitchell, and
Vanessa Vargas
The Impact of Attitude Resolve on Population Wide Attitude
Change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 322
Craig M. Vineyard, Kiran Lakkaraju, Joseph Collard, and
Stephen J. Verzi
The Impact of Network Structure on the Perturbation Dynamics of a
Multi-agent Economic Model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 331
Marshall A. Kuypers, Walter E. Beyeler, Robert J. Glass,
Matthew Antognoli, and Michael D. Mitchell
Robust Recommendations Using Regularized Link Analysis of Browsing
Behavior Graphs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 339
Shinya Naito and Koji Eguchi
Whodunit? Collective Trust in Virtual Interactions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 348
Shuyuan Mary Ho, Issam Ahmed, and Roberto Salome
Towards Building and Analyzing a Social Network of Acknowledgments
in Scientific and Academic Documents . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 357
Madian Khabsa, Sharon Koppman, and C. Lee Giles
Author Index . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 365