同时在发达的西欧一场以减轻政府管制和市场化的改革正在进行。世界著名的省理工学院经济系的著名教授前系主任宏观经济学和欧洲经济问题权威Olivier Blanchard(布兰恰德)在著名经济学期刊〈经济学展望杂志〉Journal of Economic Perspectives 2004年的一篇关于欧洲经济的文章“欧洲的未来”(www.bright-europe.org/downloads/the_economic_future_of_europe.pdf )中有这样一句核心的话语:
“there is a reform process at work, driven by deregulation in
financial and product markets; that this forces reforms in the labor market,(23页)”(改革的过程在进行,是由金融市场和产品市场的减轻管制为主导,并引致了劳动力市场的改革)
同一期刊物的另一篇由欧洲著名经济学家Gilles Saint-Paul的文章也指出“product market deregulation has proceeded in all European countries and one may believe that it contributes to reducing worker rents and the natural rate of unemployment”(产品市场的减轻管制已经在所有欧洲国家展开,人们会相信这将会导致工人租金和自然失业率的减少)
最后,陈平一文以“中国的经济持续快速增长,平均每十年增长2.5倍”来否定现代主流经济学也是不成立。中国的近年的增长速度虽比较快(其实不如当年日本韩国的速度),但在环境污染,社会公正与腐败,收入不平等等方面还是有不少问题。比如根据世界银行的统计,中国的基尼系数(衡量收入不均的最重要指标)的早已经超过印度和俄罗斯(见“Economic Origins of Dictatorship and Democracy”319页,http://econ-www.mit.edu/faculty/download_book.php?id=61 )。
正是因为这一点,胡锦涛总书记在中共十六届三中全会上第一次正式提出:“坚持以人为本,树立全面、协调、可持续的发展观。”
二、有“中国特色的经济学”吗?
首先,中国经济学陈平一文觉得大谈创新中国经济学,对推广现代主流经济学似乎不屑以顾。那么中国大陆的的经济学水平怎么样呢。首先,看看两个发表在世界重要经济学期刊《欧洲经济学会会刊》上的排名Tom Coupe (2003) 和Pantelis Kalaitzidakis, Theofanis P. Mamuneas and Thanasis Stengos(2003),这两个排名都是根据重要学术刊物上的发表统计出的。排名里面没有中国大陆任何一所高校,因为他们只排全世界前200名的经济系。而且,发表主要集中在前50名的经济系:根据第二个排名的数据,排名第200名的学校的发表只占了世界所有重要发表的千分之一。所以,中国没有任何高校能够达到世界的发表的千分之一。在另一个发表在由英国皇家经济学会主办的重要学术刊物《经济学期刊》(economic journal)的排名研究Kocher和Sutter(2001)(https://people.econ.mpg.de/~sutter/abstracts/econj.html ) 也发现,中国大陆在世界权威经济学期刊上的发表不到美国的千分之一。其次,关于中国经济学的水平,一些求实的学者也有评价,著名华人经济学家杨小凯曾指出中国经济学大致是台湾和香港1970年代的水平。
最后,希望中国经济学界能够正如陈志武教授在回复的最后一句话所说的那样,多做一点认真塌实的工作(focus on doing more real hard work),而不要动不动就谈“变革”与“挑战”。
附件:
Below is a misleading article by Chen Ping:
http://www.jingjixue.com/wmnewshtml/1/2005-05-23/20050523215916.html
This kind of garbage reflects his misunderstanding of economics. It only serves to self-glorify. There is no such a thing as "China's economics". That is total b.s(注释:废话). The economists at the CCER and other places in China have never developed a consistent framework for analyzing economic issues, so that nobody knows what it means by "China's economics". What is the core of "China's economics"? Besides the analytical framework borrowed from the west by people like us, economic research in China has not come out of the traditional "everything goes" wonton-plus-wonton-equals-wonton method.
It seems that having been trying to kiss the backend of the Chinese government, the CCER has become much more self-serving than I thought. Other than Qiren, the other key players there are all too busy trying to kiss the government. This is the danger of the CCER style of promoting "economic research": you lose your independence way before you know it. I just don't understand why LIN Yifu and Chen Ping spend all the time talking about "China's economics", when there is no such a thing and when there is not even a minimum amount of ground work that has been done to define the core of "China's economics". They should focus on doing more real hard work, rather than dreaming of the Nobel Prize every day.