求指导动态面板数据GMM估计分析,步骤,具体过程,及结果分析
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Warning: Number of instruments may be large relative to number of observations.
Warning: Two-step estimated covariance matrix of moments is singular.
Using a generalized inverse to calculate optimal weighting matrix for two-step estimation.
Difference-in-Sargan/Hansen statistics may be negative.
Dynamic panel-data estimation, two-step system GMM
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Group variable: pro Number of obs = 150
Time variable : year Number of groups = 15
Number of instruments = 101 Obs per group: min = 10
Wald chi2(10) = 3.05 avg = 10.00
Prob > chi2 = 0.980 max = 10
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| Corrected
AL | Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval]
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lAL | -.2063333 1.12391 -0.18 0.854 -2.409157 1.99649
GOV | 8.16949 16.84811 0.48 0.628 -24.85219 41.19117
IMPORT | 1.018407 1.782187 0.57 0.568 -2.474616 4.511429
EXPORT | -.1662416 1.452649 -0.11 0.909 -3.013382 2.680899
FDI | -.5140696 1.860663 -0.28 0.782 -4.160902 3.132763
ROAD | 10.74885 23.66755 0.45 0.650 -35.63871 57.1364
RAILWAY | -.446759 2.234852 -0.20 0.842 -4.826988 3.93347
NET | .1923369 .8691643 0.22 0.825 -1.511194 1.895868
GOVR | -.6494072 1.58091 -0.41 0.681 -3.747935 2.44912
GOVF | -.0413862 .163011 -0.25 0.800 -.3608818 .2781094
_cons | -113.4992 224.7315 -0.51 0.614 -553.9649 326.9665
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Instruments for first differences equation
GMM-type (missing=0, separate instruments for each period unless collapsed)
L(1/10).(L.GOV L.IMPORT L.EXPORT L.FDI L.ROAD L.RAILWAY L.NET L.GOVR
L.GOVF L.AL) collapsed
Instruments for levels equation
Standard
_cons
GMM-type (missing=0, separate instruments for each period unless collapsed)
D.(L.GOV L.IMPORT L.EXPORT L.FDI L.ROAD L.RAILWAY L.NET L.GOVR L.GOVF
L.AL) collapsed
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Arellano-Bond test for AR(1) in first differences: z = -0.46 Pr > z = 0.645
Arellano-Bond test for AR(2) in first differences: z = 0.19 Pr > z = 0.850
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Sargan test of overid. restrictions: chi2(90) = 98.54 Prob > chi2 = 0.252
(Not robust, but not weakened by many instruments.)
Hansen test of overid. restrictions: chi2(90) = 1.33 Prob > chi2 = 1.000
(Robust, but weakened by many instruments.)
Difference-in-Hansen tests of exogeneity of instrument subsets:
GMM instruments for levels
Hansen test excluding group: chi2(80) = 1.36 Prob > chi2 = 1.000
Difference (null H = exogenous): chi2(10) = -0.03 Prob > chi2 = 1.00