我输入的命令是:xtabond2 lnpri lnl1 bubble lnincome lnland newinterest lnCPI, gmm(lnl1 bubble) iv(lnincome lnland newinterest lnCPI) robust twostep small
问题一:我的解释变量bubble中有(Yt-1—Yt-2)/Yt-2的滞后一期和滞后两期Y同时出现的情况,那么照上述命令做GMM估计有问题吗?
问题二:lnincome lnland newinterest三个解释变量在5%显著性水平上都不显著,有没有什么较好的改进方法?(income指可支配收入 land土地价格 interest名义利率)
问题三:怎么看Sargan test,Hansen test和Arellano-Bond test的结果?
刚开始接触计量和stata,希望大家不吝赐教!!!
Dynamic panel-data estimation, two-step system GMM
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Group variable: id Number of obs = 210
Time variable : year Number of groups = 30
Number of instruments = 66 Obs per group: min = 7
F(6, 29) = 1066.25 avg = 7.00
Prob > F = 0.000 max = 7
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| Corrected
lnpri | Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval]
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lnl1 | .9932269 .0665125 14.93 0.000 .8571937 1.12926
bubble | -.1613536 .062633 -2.58 0.015 -.2894525 -.0332547
lnincome | .0107365 .0974249 0.11 0.913 -.1885198 .2099929
lnland | .0119812 .0172494 0.69 0.493 -.0232979 .0472602
newinterest | 1.628302 .8220475 1.98 0.057 -.0529745 3.309578
lnCPI | -.8616169 .2387933 -3.61 0.001 -1.350004 -.3732298
_cons | 3.898482 1.049357 3.72 0.001 1.752307 6.044658
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Instruments for first differences equation
Standard
D.(lnincome lnland newinterest lnCPI)
GMM-type (missing=0, separate instruments for each period unless collapsed)
L(1/8).(lnl1 bubble)
Instruments for levels equation
Standard
lnincome lnland newinterest lnCPI
_cons
GMM-type (missing=0, separate instruments for each period unless collapsed)
D.(lnl1 bubble)
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Arellano-Bond test for AR(1) in first differences: z = -2.94 Pr > z = 0.003
Arellano-Bond test for AR(2) in first differences: z = 1.56 Pr > z = 0.119
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Sargan test of overid. restrictions: chi2(59) = 95.63 Prob > chi2 = 0.002
(Not robust, but not weakened by many instruments.)
Hansen test of overid. restrictions: chi2(59) = 26.52 Prob > chi2 = 1.000
(Robust, but weakened by many instruments.)
Difference-in-Hansen tests of exogeneity of instrument subsets:
GMM instruments for levels
Hansen test excluding group: chi2(46) = 24.02 Prob > chi2 = 0.997
Difference (null H = exogenous): chi2(13) = 2.50 Prob > chi2 = 0.999
iv(lnincome lnland newinterest lnCPI)
Hansen test excluding group: chi2(55) = 26.99 Prob > chi2 = 0.999
Difference (null H = exogenous): chi2(4) = -0.47 Prob > chi2 = 1.000
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