Citigroup 1月5日长篇,59页。
In 2016 the increase in interest rates was probably the most important issue for consumer staples–The impact of interest rates on consumer staples varies greatly over time.In 2016 the correlation between movements in 10-year U.S.Treasury yields and the MSCI World Consumer Staples Index’s relative performance reached the highest it has been since at least 2001,with an R2 of about 66%.Most large cap consumer staples stocks(and the index as a whole)underperformed last year by about 1-1.5% for every 10bps increase in 10-year yields.Interest rates are consistently more important for the relative performance than absolute performance,and this was especially true in 2016.