人民币升值对我国劳动密集产业的影响分析

聂高

（吉首大学商学院，湖南 吉首 416000）

摘要
：在我国，劳动密集型产业是我国主导出口产业之一，并因吸纳较多就业对我国经济发展具有极其重要的意义。人民币汇率在一定程度上也影响劳动密集型产业发展。按照购买力评价理论和哈罗德—巴拉萨—萨缪尔森假说分析及国内学者研究成果，中国将继续保持较高速度经济增长，人民币实际汇率升值具有趋势性，因此人民币趋势性升值将给我国劳动密集型产业总体带来负面影响。根据我国实际情况，提出为应对人民币升值不利影响，政府和企业应共同努力，核心在于促进产业结构升级以及向成本洼地转移，并采取综合措施、提前筹划、长期努力。
关键词：人民币升值；劳动密集型产业 ；策略

Research on the Effect of Appreciation of RMB on Labor-intensive Industry

Nie Gao

Business School of Ji shou University, Ji shou Hunan 416000

Abstract: In China, labor-intensive industries is one of leading export industries, accommodating much employment as well, it is very important to the economic development.
the fluctuations of RMB exchange rate influences its development。In accordance with the PPP theory and Harrod-Balasa-Samuelaon analysis, a long-term trend of RMB appreciation do exist, as a result, the trend will have an adverse impact on the labor-intensive industries overall.
In light of the actual situation in China, the government and enterprises should make joint efforts as well as to take comprehensive measures to avoid the adverse effects of the RMB appreciation, and early planning, long-term effort.
Keywords: Appreciation of RMB; Effect Labor-intensive Industries; Strategy