【出版时间及名称】:2009年12月日本电信行业研究报告
【作者】:摩根斯坦利
【文件格式】:PPT
【页数】:54
【目录或简介】:
In-Line Industry View
FCF improvement is the key
Telecom industry earnings are brisk. Watch capacity to generate stable FCF and how the FCF is used
Increased shareholder returns and investment in new areas using rich FCF should dictate the future of each firm
Valuations are low; expect stock upside once market recognizes solid earnings
In the medium term…
<Expect business field expansion>
→Expansion of data user client base with the penetration of high-functional handsets (smartphones) and double-flat-rate charging
→Enhanced new contents & services with progress in infrastructure set up for high-speed data communication (HSDPA, LTE etc)
<Expect cost reduction>
→Streamlining of the wireline business
(NTT: FTTH investment has cycled through. Focus on controlled capex and business rationalization from F3/11)
(KDDI: Due to post restructuring costs in F3/10. Profitability in wireline business becomes a realistic aim for F3/11 on)
Stock recommendations
NTT (9432, OW, PT Y5,100):Faster than expected cost cuts in wireline business. Expect attractive shareholder returns. Appealing value stock.
Softbank (9984, OW, PT Y2,600):Attractive as both growth stock and value stock
NTT docomo (9437, EW, PT Y158,000):Stable earnings and shareholder returns good, but lacks near-term catalysts
KDDI (9433, EW, PT Y575,000):Undervalued, but falling competitiveness of core mobile business and continued loss of fixed business are risks
eAccess (9427, EW, PT Y70,000):Earnings improvement good, but mobile ARPU trend still bears watching
附件列表