计量小白有几个问题想请教一下大家,对于那Difference-in-Hansen tests of exogeneity of instrument subsets:
1、Hansen test excluding group是排除了部分工具变量(也就是我的滞后项做的工具变量)之后的检验值吗,这里几个Hansen test excluding group的P值都为0的意思是未排除的工具变量都无效吗,为什么会这样啊,如何改善未排除部分的工具变量的有效性?
2、Difference (null H = exogenous)是那个C统计量吗,几个Difference (null H = exogenous)的P值都为1是说明我以滞后项做的工具变量都是非常有效的吗?
3、这里的总的Hansen的P值是0.09,应该是通过过度识别检验了,但是lev和lev2不显著,但是在xtdpdsys命令中lev和lev2就显著的了,不过在xtdpdsys中sargan,请问在xtabond2中如何改善lev和lev2的显著性?
估计结果如下:
Dynamic panel-data estimation, two-step system GMM
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
> -
Group variable: cit Number of obs = 370
> 2
Time variable : year Number of groups = 28
> 5
Number of instruments = 261 Obs per group: min = 1
> 2
Wald chi2(8) = 338.92 avg = 12.9
> 9
Prob > chi2 = 0.000 max = 1
> 3
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
> -
| Corrected
gdp | Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval
> ]
-------------+---------------------------------------------------------------
> -
gdp |
L1. | .3896619 .1132893 3.44 0.001 .167619 .611704
> 8
|
lev | .0016795 .006394 0.26 0.793 -.0108526 .014211
> 6
lev2 | -.0001684 .0011813 -0.14 0.887 -.0024838 .002146
> 9
sav | -.0137649 .0061568 -2.24 0.025 -.0258321 -.001697
> 8
pop | .0272447 .0115033 2.37 0.018 .0046986 .049790
> 8
gov | -.0658784 .0228019 -2.89 0.004 -.1105694 -.021187
> 5
inv | -.0168256 .0060733 -2.77 0.006 -.0287291 -.004922
> 2
indu | -.1485088 .0378034 -3.93 0.000 -.222602 -.074415
> 5
_cons | .2294472 .0419907 5.46 0.000 .1471469 .311747
> 5
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
> -
Instruments for first differences equation
Standard
D.gov
GMM-type (missing=0, separate instruments for each period unless collapsed)
L(1/2).(lev lev2 sav pop inv indu)
L(1/2).gdp
Instruments for levels equation
Standard
gov
_cons
GMM-type (missing=0, separate instruments for each period unless collapsed)
D.(lev lev2 sav pop inv indu)
D.gdp
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
> -
Arellano-Bond test for AR(1) in first differences: z = -2.08 Pr > z = 0.03
> 8
Arellano-Bond test for AR(2) in first differences: z = 1.32 Pr > z = 0.18
> 7
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
> -
Sargan test of overid. restrictions: chi2(252) =3428.68 Prob > chi2 = 0.00
> 0
(Not robust, but not weakened by many instruments.)
Hansen test of overid. restrictions: chi2(252) = 282.52 Prob > chi2 = 0.09
> 1
(Robust, but weakened by many instruments.)
Difference-in-Hansen tests of exogeneity of instrument subsets:
GMM instruments for levels
Hansen test excluding group: chi2(161) = 269.32 Prob > chi2 = 0.00
> 0
Difference (null H = exogenous): chi2(91) = 13.20 Prob > chi2 = 1.00
> 0
gmm(gdp, lag(1 2))
Hansen test excluding group: chi2(215) = 277.23 Prob > chi2 = 0.00
> 3
Difference (null H = exogenous): chi2(37) = 5.29 Prob > chi2 = 1.00
> 0
gmm(lev lev2 sav pop inv indu, lag(1 2))
Hansen test excluding group: chi2(30) = 208.84 Prob > chi2 = 0.00
> 0
Difference (null H = exogenous): chi2(222) = 73.68 Prob > chi2 = 1.00
> 0
iv(gov)
Hansen test excluding group: chi2(251) = 282.52 Prob > chi2 = 0.08
> 4
Difference (null H = exogenous): chi2(1) = 0.00 Prob > chi2 = 0.95
> 5
.
end of do-file
.