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2010-02-19
【出版时间及名称】:2010年2月美国证券市场投资策略报告
        【作者】:摩根大通
        【文件格式】:PDF
        【页数】:77
        【目录或简介】:
Table of Contents
US Equity Strategy Recent Publications......................................................................................................... 2
How much downside? Or is it time to be contrarian?..................................... 5
Strategic: This Bull market “not too far, too fast”........................................... 8
Tactical: Upturn in Economic surprise........................................................... 10
Tactical: Equity FCF vs. Bond Yield suggests Buy Zone….......................... 11
Tactical: Stocks are severely oversold and in Buy Zone.............................. 13
Market Strategy: If pro-Cyclicals selling off, why does this not mean
a rotation into Defensives? ............................................................................. 15
Trade Idea: Buy what has already corrected – 23 Stocks............................. 18
Update on Financials Stocks Trade Idea....................................................................................................... 21
Update on Pro-Cyclical Stocks Trade Idea ................................................................................................... 22
Sector Comparative.......................................................................................... 25
Which Industries Score the Best? Based on Target Prices and Buzz-o-Meter.............................................. 26
S&P 500: Snapshot of Industry Market Capitalization................................................................................. 27
Price Performance – S&P 500 ...................................................................................................................... 28
Trailing 1-Month Relative Price Performance – Sectors .............................................................................. 29
Price vs. 50-Day Moving Avg – S&P 500.................................................................................................... 30
Price vs. 50-Day Moving Avg – Sectors (best is low and rising) ................................................................. 31
Monthly Sales Revision – S&P 500.............................................................................................................. 32
Monthly Sales Revision – Sectors ................................................................................................................ 33
Relative Sales Momentum – S&P 500.......................................................................................................... 34
Relative Sales Growth (vs. S&P 500) – Sectors (best if tail is rising) .......................................................... 35
Monthly Earnings Revision – S&P 500........................................................................................................ 36
Monthly Earnings Revision – Sectors........................................................................................................... 37
Relative Earnings Momentum – S&P 500.................................................................................................... 38
Relative Earnings Momentum – Sectors (best if tail is rising)...................................................................... 39
JULI Spreads – All Industries...................................................................................................................... 40
JULI Spreads (Relative to All Industries’ Averages) – Sectors (best is high and narrowing) ...................... 41
First Call Mean Rating – S&P 500 ............................................................................................................... 42
First Call Mean Rating (Relative to S&P 500) – Sectors (best is low and rising) ........................................ 43
Short Interest – S&P 500 .............................................................................................................................. 44
Short Interest (Relative to S&P 500) – Sectors (best is high and falling)..................................................... 45
ETF Fund Flows .......................................................................................................................................... 46
ETF Fund Flows – Sectors........................................................................................................................... 47
Price/10-Yr EPS – S&P 500 ......................................................................................................................... 48
Price/10-Yr EPS (Relative to S&P 500) – Sectors (best if low and rising)................................................... 49
Sector Analysis: Industries and Stocks ......................................................... 51
Energy.......................................................................................................................................................... 52
Materials ...................................................................................................................................................... 54
Industrials .................................................................................................................................................... 56
Technology .................................................................................................................................................. 58
Staples.......................................................................................................................................................... 60
HealthCare ................................................................................................................................................... 62
Telecom ....................................................................................................................................................... 64
Utilities ........................................................................................................................................................ 66
Discretionary................................................................................................................................................ 68
Financials..................................................................................................................................................... 71
Buzz-o-Meter Methodology......................................................................................................................... 73
Composite Score Methodology.................................................................................................................... 74
附件列表

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