Some stuff from google:
(among others ,,)
Weibull Distribution. As described earlier, the exponential distribution is often used as a model of time-to-failure measurements, when the failure (hazard) rate is constant over time. When the failure probability varies over time, then the Weibull distribution is appropriate. Thus, the Weibull distribution is often used in reliability testing (e.g., of electronic relays, ball bearings, etc.; see Hahn and Shapiro, 1967). The Weibull distribution is defined as:
f(x) = c/b*(x/b)(c-1) * e[-(x/b)^c], for 0 £ x < ¥, b > 0, c > 0
where
| b | is the scale parameter |
| c | is the shape parameter |
| e | is the base of the natural logarithm, sometimes called Euler's e (2.71...) |
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Personal comment:
at least in the above example, the essence is that this distribution is more flexible. Another exmaple I know well is the generalized error distribution (GED, similarly for exponential power distribution, EPD). In Nelson 1991, EGARCH model, the error terms is assumed GED. by varying the parameter v in GED, the distribution can cover fatter, thinner than normal distribution. when v=2, it reduces to normal distribution. For typical finanical time series v_hat is 1.5, for instance.
So whether the error is indeed normal can be seen from the estimated parameter v. It one assumes normality, she actually restricts the innovation to be normal (v=2).
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All in all, this kind of distribution may avoid possible mistake by not assuming a more restricted distribution. So let the data speak.
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[此贴子已经被作者于2006-3-8 4:36:06编辑过]