求助多元线性模型的拟合

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收藏 2010-04-19

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年份	通货膨胀率(Y)	GDP增长率（X1）	外汇储备(X2)	货币供给量(X3)	总指数(X4)	工资指数(X5)
1990	2.1	3.8	110.9	15293.4	105.6	112.7
1991	2.9	9.2	217.1	19349.9	109.1	112.6
1992	5.4	14.2	194.4	25402.2	111	118.5
1993	13.2	14	212	34879.8	135.1	124.8
1994	21.7	13.1	516.2	46293.5	118.2	135.4
1995	14.8	10.9	736	60750.5	115.3	121.7
1996	6.1	10	1050.3	76094.9	103.9	112.1
1997	0.8	9.3	1398.9	90995.3	101.3	103.6
1998	-2.6	7.8	1449.6	104498.5	95.8	100.2
1999	-3	7.6	1546.8	119897.9	96.7	106.2
2000	-1.5	8.4	1655.7	134610.4	105.1	107.9
2001	-0.8	8.3	2121.7	158301.9	99.8	111
2002	-1.3	9.1	2864.1	185007	97.7	111.2
2003	-0.1	10	4032.5	221222.8	104.8	112
2004	2.8	10.1	6099.3	254107	111.4	114.6
2005	0.8	10.4	8188.7	298755.7	108.3	117.1
2006	1	11.1	10663.4	345603.6	106	117.6
2007	3.8	11.4	15282.5	403442.2	104.4	121.4
以上是我的数据，没学好计量经济学。求高手帮忙。接下来要做哪些检验？（详细点吧）
Dependent Variable: Y
Method: Least Squares
Date: 04/15/10 Time: 22:05
Sample: 1990 2007
Included observations: 18

	Coefficient	Std. Error	t-Statistic	Prob.

X1	0.237077	0.384459	0.616651	0.549
X2	0.000101	0.000566	0.17776	0.8619
X3	-2.43E-05	2.03E-05	-1.195257	0.2551
X4	0.023775	0.125272	0.189787	0.8526
X5	0.621924	0.139731	4.45086	0.0008
C	-69.24811	12.38417	-5.591662	0.0001

R-squared	0.885663	Mean dependent var		3.672222
Adjusted R-squared	0.838023	S.D. dependent var		6.622316
S.E. of regression	2.66524	Akaike info criterion		5.059667
Sum squared resid	85.24208	Schwarz criterion		5.356458
Log likelihood	-39.537	Hannan-Quinn criter.		5.100591
F-statistic	18.59065	Durbin-Watson stat		0.754826
Prob(F-statistic)	0.000028