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2010-04-26
Two investment advisers have obtained the following returns in years 1-5.
The riskfree rate in each of those years was 5%.



Market
Adviser 1
Adviser 2


return
return
return


Year 1
0.10
0.075
0.125

Year 2
0.20
0.125
0.275

Year 3
0.25
0.15
0.350

Year 4
0.15
0.1
0.2


Year 5
0.30
0.175
0.425


(a)
Which adviser incurs more market risk? Show your work.

(b)

If each advisor takes the same risk in year 6 as (s)he took in the previous five years, the riskfree rate is 6% and the market return is 20%, which adviser would be the better stock predictor if adviser 1 obtains a 15% return and adviser 2 gets 25%?

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