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论坛 世界经济与国际贸易 八区 世界经济与国际贸易
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2010-12-07
Richard Baldwin的文章:Multilateralising Regionalism--Spaghetti Bowls as Building Blocs on the Path to Global Free Trade
  This paper addresses the final steps to global free trade -- the political economy forces that might drive them, and the role the WTO might play in guiding them. Two facts form the departure point:1) Regionalism is here to stay; 2) the motley assortment of regional trade agreements is not the best way to organise world trade. Moving to global duty-free trade will require a multilateralisation of regionalism. The paper presents the political economy logic of trade liberalisation and uses it to structure a narrative of world trade liberalisation since 1947. The logic is then used to project the world tariff map in 2010, arguing that the pattern will be marked by fractals – fuzzy, leaky trade blocs made up of fuzzy, leaky sub-blocs (fuzzy since the proliferation of FTAs makes it impossible to draw sharp lines around the 3 big blocs, and leaky since some FTAs create free trade ’canals’ linking the blocs). The paper then presents a novel political economy mechanism – spaghetti bowls as building blocs – whereby offshoring creates a force that encourages  the multilateralisation of regionalism. Finally,  the paper  suggests  three  things  the WTO  could do  to help multilateralise
regionalism.
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2013-12-29 16:50:51
理查德·鲍德温的文章,还是有些好东西的,外国学者也有很多战略忽悠性质的书,但鲍德温的很实在,很有前瞻性。
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2017-1-14 20:50:21
谢谢分享
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