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2022-03-06
摘要翻译:
本文表明,模糊时态逻辑可以对思维图形进行建模,以描述决策行为。为了举例说明,从包含时间、不确定性和模糊性的选择问题出发,对实验观察到的一些经济行为进行了建模。与时间偏好有关的是,在积极奖励的情况下,次加性折扣是强制性的,因此,产生幅度效应和时间效应,后者在较早的延迟期(如一小时、一天)具有较强的折扣,而在较长的延迟期(如六个月、一年、十年)具有较弱的折扣。此外,还有可能解释偏好逆转(当在不同日期提出的两个奖励在时间内发生变化时,偏好的变化)。与前景理论相关的是,风险寻求和风险厌恶是大小依赖关系,当损失值很高时,风险寻求可能会消失。
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英文标题:
《Decision-making and Fuzzy Temporal Logic》
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作者:
Jos\'e Cl\'audio do Nascimento
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最新提交年份:
2019
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分类信息:

一级分类:Computer Science        计算机科学
二级分类:Artificial Intelligence        人工智能
分类描述:Covers all areas of AI except Vision, Robotics, Machine Learning, Multiagent Systems, and Computation and Language (Natural Language Processing), which have separate subject areas. In particular, includes Expert Systems, Theorem Proving (although this may overlap with Logic in Computer Science), Knowledge Representation, Planning, and Uncertainty in AI. Roughly includes material in ACM Subject Classes I.2.0, I.2.1, I.2.3, I.2.4, I.2.8, and I.2.11.
涵盖了人工智能的所有领域,除了视觉、机器人、机器学习、多智能体系统以及计算和语言(自然语言处理),这些领域有独立的学科领域。特别地,包括专家系统,定理证明(尽管这可能与计算机科学中的逻辑重叠),知识表示,规划,和人工智能中的不确定性。大致包括ACM学科类I.2.0、I.2.1、I.2.3、I.2.4、I.2.8和I.2.11中的材料。
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一级分类:Economics        经济学
二级分类:Theoretical Economics        理论经济学
分类描述:Includes theoretical contributions to Contract Theory, Decision Theory, Game Theory, General Equilibrium, Growth, Learning and Evolution, Macroeconomics, Market and Mechanism Design, and Social Choice.
包括对契约理论、决策理论、博弈论、一般均衡、增长、学习与进化、宏观经济学、市场与机制设计、社会选择的理论贡献。
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一级分类:Mathematics        数学
二级分类:Logic        逻辑
分类描述:Logic, set theory, point-set topology, formal mathematics
逻辑,集合论,点集拓扑,形式数学
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英文摘要:
  This paper shows that the fuzzy temporal logic can model figures of thought to describe decision-making behaviors. In order to exemplify, some economic behaviors observed experimentally were modeled from problems of choice containing time, uncertainty and fuzziness. Related to time preference, it is noted that the subadditive discounting is mandatory in positive rewards situations and, consequently, results in the magnitude effect and time effect, where the last has a stronger discounting for earlier delay periods (as in, one hour, one day), but a weaker discounting for longer delay periods (for instance, six months, one year, ten years). In addition, it is possible to explain the preference reversal (change of preference when two rewards proposed on different dates are shifted in the time). Related to the Prospect Theory, it is shown that the risk seeking and the risk aversion are magnitude dependents, where the risk seeking may disappear when the values to be lost are very high.
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PDF链接:
https://arxiv.org/pdf/1901.01970
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