摘要翻译:
本文从信息理论和复杂性理论出发,提出了一种研究舆论的一般方法。它基于从民意调查中提取的概率数据。它对希腊总理康斯坦丁诺斯·卡拉曼利斯先生(2004-2007)的高支持率做出了定量的信息论解释,而Metron Analysis公司进行的同一时间序列民意调查显示,他的政党新民主党(简称ND)略高于泛希腊社会主义运动党领导人乔治·帕潘德里欧先生的反对党。根据以前的一项研究,可以看出同样的数学模型适用于1998年1月至1999年2月克林顿总统受欢迎的情况,尽管目前的工作将调查扩展到复杂性和费雪信息等概念,量化了民意数据的组织。
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英文标题:
《Application of information and complexity theories to public opinion
polls. The case of Greece (2004-2007)》
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作者:
C.P. Panos, K.Ch. Chatzisavvas
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最新提交年份:
2007
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分类信息:
一级分类:Statistics 统计学
二级分类:Applications 应用程序
分类描述:Biology, Education, Epidemiology, Engineering, Environmental Sciences, Medical, Physical Sciences, Quality Control, Social Sciences
生物学,教育学,流行病学,工程学,环境科学,医学,物理科学,质量控制,社会科学
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一级分类:Physics 物理学
二级分类:Physics and Society 物理学与社会
分类描述:Structure, dynamics and collective behavior of societies and groups (human or otherwise). Quantitative analysis of social networks and other complex networks. Physics and engineering of infrastructure and systems of broad societal impact (e.g., energy grids, transportation networks).
社会和团体(人类或其他)的结构、动态和集体行为。社会网络和其他复杂网络的定量分析。具有广泛社会影响的基础设施和系统(如能源网、运输网络)的物理和工程。
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英文摘要:
A general methodology to study public opinion inspired from information and complexity theories is outlined. It is based on probabilistic data extracted from opinion polls. It gives a quantitative information-theoretic explanation of high job approval of Greek Prime Minister Mr. Constantinos Karamanlis (2004-2007), while the same time series of polls conducted by the company Metron Analysis showed that his party New Democracy (abbr. ND) was slightly higher than the opposition party of PASOK -party leader Mr. George Papandreou. It is seen that the same mathematical model applies to the case of the popularity of President Clinton between January 1998 and February 1999, according to a previous study, although the present work extends the investigation to concepts as complexity and Fisher information, quantifying the organization of public opinion data.
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PDF链接:
https://arxiv.org/pdf/711.0893