摘要翻译:
官方“绿色增长”话语的核心是一种猜想,即绝对脱钩可以通过某些市场工具实现。本文对这一主张的评价侧重于技术的作用,而国内生产总值构成的变化则在其他地方处理。通过一个基于创新和学习经验知识的程式化模型,确定了绝对解耦的一些基本困难,特别是热力学成本。通常,货币成本下降的速度比生产增长的速度慢,如果货币成本与热力学成本一致,这种情况不太可能改变,除非在价格改革后的过渡时期。此外,由于物理原因,热力学效率最终必须达到饱和。虽然这一模式通常将技术创新作为效率的源泉,但创新也带来了挑战:因此,试图通过不断加速的创新来维持增长也与人和机构有限的反应能力相冲突。信息技术可能会破坏未来的创新动力,使生态效率得到更快的提高,但只能达到饱和,并加剧创新的不利影响。这些观察表明,长期可持续性需要比绿色增长话语假设的更深刻的变革,暴露了根据生态经济学和退增长文献重新思考规模、节奏和机构的必要性。
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英文标题:
《Limits to green growth and the dynamics of innovation》
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作者:
Salvador Pueyo
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最新提交年份:
2019
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分类信息:
一级分类:Economics        经济学
二级分类:Theoretical Economics        理论经济学
分类描述:Includes theoretical contributions to Contract Theory, Decision Theory, Game Theory, General Equilibrium, Growth, Learning and Evolution, Macroeconomics, Market and Mechanism Design, and Social Choice.
包括对契约理论、决策理论、博弈论、一般均衡、增长、学习与进化、宏观经济学、市场与机制设计、社会选择的理论贡献。
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英文摘要:
  Central to the official "green growth" discourse is the conjecture that absolute decoupling can be achieved with certain market instruments. This paper evaluates this claim focusing on the role of technology, while changes in GDP composition are treated elsewhere. Some fundamental difficulties for absolute decoupling, referring specifically to thermodynamic costs, are identified through a stylized model based on empirical knowledge on innovation and learning. Normally, monetary costs decrease more slowly than production grows, and this is unlikely to change should monetary costs align with thermodynamic costs, except, potentially, in the transition after the price reform. Furthermore, thermodynamic efficiency must eventually saturate for physical reasons. While this model, as usual, introduces technological innovation just as a source of efficiency, innovation also creates challenges: therefore, attempts to sustain growth by ever-accelerating innovation collide also with the limited reaction capacity of people and institutions. Information technology could disrupt innovation dynamics in the future, permitting quicker gains in eco-efficiency, but only up to saturation and exacerbating the downsides of innovation. These observations suggest that long-term sustainability requires much deeper transformations than the green growth discourse presumes, exposing the need to rethink scales, tempos and institutions, in line with ecological economics and the degrowth literature. 
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PDF链接:
https://arxiv.org/pdf/1904.09586