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论坛 新商科论坛 四区(原工商管理论坛) 行业分析报告
1405 1
2011-07-20

Buying Low, Aiming High 3

5 Key Inflections in 2H (and Beyond) 4

Valuations: Discounting China 12

Earnings Downgrades Limited 14

Strategy: Buying Low 17

Derivatives/Multi Strategy 20

No QE3, Yes China 20

Economic Outlook 25

Inflation to Fall Slowly Amid Growth Moderation 26

Sector Analysis 37

Autos & Auto Parts 38

2H11 Car Sales to Improve HoH 38

Banks 40

The Price of Pain 40

Consumer 42

Discretionary to Continue to Outperform 42

Healthcare 44

Macro Favors Growth and M&A in 2011 44

Infrastructure & Machinery 46

Positive on Construction Machinery in 2H11 46

Insurance 48

Deepening P&C Recovery; Poised for Life Turnaround 48

Internet 50

Sharp Sector Correction; Industry Fundamentals Robust 50

Metals & Mining 52

Stay With the Winners 52

Oil, Gas and Chemicals 54

High Oil Prices Yet To Be Priced Into Stocks 54

Property 57

Tenacious Vitality; Partial Rerating Story to Continue 57

Small/Mid-Caps 59

Raising Beta Ahead 59

Telecoms 61

Mobile Data to Boost Telcos and Vendors Growth in 2H 61

Utilities 63

2H11: Regulatory Support Is Improving Fundamentals 63

Appendix 66

Sector Valuation Charts 67

China Stocks — Valuation Snapshot 71

Appendix A-1 80

China Equity Strategy - 2H Outlook.pdf
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2011-7-20 14:30:55
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