Quantifying Chinese buying is difficult. Local authorities don't publish statistics on foreign ownership of residential property. Real-estate consultancy Landcor Data Corp. pored through sales data in two high-end Vancouver neighborhoods, looking for "pure" Chinese names—excluding Western first names or any "remotely non-Chinese" variants—in an attempt to get a sense of the scale of mainland buying. They found 74% of buyers of luxury homes in the areas last year fit the category.
Vancouver real-estate agents say Chinese buyers dominate the high end of the market, fanning demand and prices across the city. The strong demand for high-end homes has helped drive up prices for more modest houses. Some Vancouverites are selling their now richly valued homes and buying more-expensive ones, while new buyers are scrambling to buy before prices rise further, agents say.
"It creates this positive vibe, this dynamic to the market that is upbeat," says Elton Ash, vice president for western Canada at RE/MAX.
Canadian home prices have climbed steadily since the end of the economic and financial crisis, even as U.S. home prices resume their decline. Low interest rates have made borrowing easy, and the global commodities boom has fired up Canada's resource-rich economy. On Tuesday, the Bank of Canada kept its benchmark rate at 1%, though some expect the bank to raise rates by the end of the year, spurring some buyers to act before mortgage rates go up. Other markets, including Toronto and Montreal, have seen their own steady home-price increases, but nothing has approached the boom in Vancouver.
The boom has triggered a bit of a backlash. A former city councilor, Peter Ladner, in April caused a ruckus after he said Vancouver should study measures, which could include restricting both local and foreign real-estate purchases, to ease prices. "It's eroding business, the economy, because people can't afford to move here to take up jobs," he says. He recommends a study to quantify offshore buying as a first step.
The city always has been more expensive than most in Canada. Its location, sandwiched between the sea and the mountains, constrains the supply of available land. Vancouver also has long been near the top of global surveys in terms of quality of life. The 2010 Winter Olympics helped showcase the city to the world.
Several waves of Chinese have migrated to the city, beginning in the late 1800s, when Canada brought in workers to build the Canadian Pacific Railway. About 20% of the city is of ethnic Chinese origin now. That makes it a natural market for Chinese looking for overseas investments, amid Beijing's recent attempts to cool its own property market.
Eric Christiansen, a top real-estate agent for affluent West Vancouver, estimates that Chinese make up a small percentage of the total Vancouver market, but dominate the high-end sectors of the city.