全部版块 我的主页
论坛 金融投资论坛 六区 金融学(理论版) 金融工程(数量金融)与金融衍生品
1740 4
2012-11-30
在我们对一组数据的方差建模时,我们设定好一种分布,比如t分布
偏斜t分布等,我们也设定好garch的类型。比如figarch、garch、fiegarch等,
但是,我们怎么证明模型刻画厚尾刻画的好呢?
又如何证明刻画非对称刻画的好呢?有哪些检验?

二维码

扫码加我 拉你入群

请注明:姓名-公司-职位

以便审核进群资格,未注明则拒绝

全部回复
2012-11-30 21:44:55
Good question.
Pls. refer to the article by Hansen and Lunde published on JAE: A forecast comparison of volatility models: does anything beat a GARCH(1,1)?. It is classic but old work first done in 2001, although among the literature in 2005. So you'd better check more new progress on this topic.

二维码

扫码加我 拉你入群

请注明:姓名-公司-职位

以便审核进群资格,未注明则拒绝

2012-11-30 21:48:41
Any question for the paper, we can talk it later. thanks
二维码

扫码加我 拉你入群

请注明:姓名-公司-职位

以便审核进群资格,未注明则拒绝

2012-11-30 22:05:40
I find the paper recommended by 1st floor very good.

Basically, GARCH model is a model that "fits" something, not just for the fat tail or asymmetic process. For homoscedasticity,  and normal distribution in return series, it also performs good. What you need to test is not the fat tail or the skewness, but whether the model fit the data well both in the sample and out of sample. Mainly, out of sample. The paper by the 1st floor gives several criteria to measure the performance.

In short, my point is that, if you do not see any non-zero skewness or high kurtosis by the GARCH model you estimate, it does not mean that GARCH model is not good. It is the data that does not give these characters. If the data has these characters, GARCH model will surely describe these features. What you need to do is just to test the fitness.  
二维码

扫码加我 拉你入群

请注明:姓名-公司-职位

以便审核进群资格,未注明则拒绝

2012-12-3 10:38:20
正态性检验;偏度、峰度(与正态分布比较);平稳性检验;ARCH检验
随便看偏类似的论文,应该都有的吧
二维码

扫码加我 拉你入群

请注明:姓名-公司-职位

以便审核进群资格,未注明则拒绝

相关推荐
栏目导航
热门文章
推荐文章

说点什么

分享

扫码加好友,拉您进群
各岗位、行业、专业交流群