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2013-02-25
热烈欢迎清华大学经济系鞠建东教授2月26日10点接受人大经济论坛的在线访谈活动。感谢鞠老师抽出时间和大家进行在线的学术交流。


鞠建东,清华大学经管学院经济系教授,国际经济研究中心主任。1982年获南京大学数学系学士学位,1987年获清华大学经济学硕士学位,1995年获美国宾州州立大学经济学博士学位。

主要讲授课程:高级国际贸易。

主要研究领域为国际贸易、国际金融、产业组织。

American Economic Review、Journal of International Economics、American Economic Journal等国际一流学术杂志上发表论文多篇。目前承担有世界银行(World Bank)和货币基金组织(IMF)的多项科研项目。

自1995年至今担任美国俄克拉荷马大学(University of Oklahom)经济系助理教授、副教授(终身聘任)、教授,2007年至2009年担任国际货币基金组织研究部客座研究员,兼任世界银行顾问。附上鞠老师文章“开放新阶段和华夏共同体的构想”:

期刊论文(国内)
  • “要素禀赋、专业化分工、贸易的理论与实证” (与林毅夫和王勇合著) ,经济学 (季 刊) ,第4卷第1期, 2004。["Endowment, Specialization, and Trade: Theory and Practice", (with Justin Yifu Lin and Yong Wang) China Economic Quarterly, 4(1), 2004.]   
  • “社会价值、市场效率与收入分配”,经济学 (季刊) ,第2卷第3期, 2003。["Social Value, Market Efficiency, and Income Distribution", China Economic Quarterly, 2(3), 2003.]   
  • “东北亚经济区合作构想”(与张力、张峰、薛军和潘福祥合著) ,科技导报,第5期,1989。["Northeast Asia Free Trade Area", (with Li Zhang, Feng Zhang, Jun Xue and Fuxiang Pan) Science and Technology Review, 5, 1989.]   
  • “行政权力与货币的交换”(与石丰合著),中国经济论坛,第1卷第1 期,1989。["The Exchange between Administrative Power and Money", (with Shi Feng) China Economic Review, 1(1), 1989.]
  • “调整过程中的价格刚性与失业要素波动:一个动态一般均衡角度的分析”,经济学 (季刊) ,第1卷第1期, 2001。["Price Rigidities and Unemployed Factor Fluctuations in the Adjustment Process: A Dynamic General Equilibrium Approach", China Economic Quarterly, 1(1), 2001.]  

专著
  • “金融发展与国际贸易”, 国际贸易与投资前沿 (第4章), 格致出版社, 上海, 2008。["Financial Development and International Trade", Research Frontier in International Trade and Investment (Chapter 4), Shanghai, 2008]

期刊论文(国际)
  • "When Is Quality of Financial System a Source of Comparative Advantage?" (with Shang-Jin Wei) Journal of International Economics, 2011, 84, 178-187.
  • "Consumer Heterogeneity, Income Distribution, and Welfare Impact of Free Trade", Review of International Economics, 2011, 19(2), pp. 288-299.
  • "Domestic Institutions and the Bypass Effect of International Capital Flow", (with Shang-Jin Wei) American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, November 2010, pp. 173-204.
  • "A Model of Middlemen and Oligopolistic Market Makers", (with Scott Linn and Zhen Zhu), Journal of Economics & Management Strategy, 19(1), Spring 2010, pp. 1-23, Lead Article.
  • "The Impact of Trade Liberalization on the Trade Balance in Developing Countries" (with Yi Wu and Li Zeng), IMF Staff Papers, 57(2), 2010, pp. 427-449.
  • "Hicks Theorem: Effects of Technological Improvement in the Ricardian Model", (with Xuebing Yang), International Review of Finance and Economics, 18, 2009, pp. 239-247.
  • "Firms behavior and market access in a Free Trade Area with Rules of Origin", (with Kala Krishna), Canadian Journal of Economics, February 2005, pp. 290-308.
  • "Oligopolistic Competition, Technology Innovation, and Multiproduct Firms", Review of International Economics, 11(2), May 2003, pp.346-359.
  • "Regulations, Regime Switches and Non Monotonicity when Non Compliance is an Option: An Application to Content Protection and Preference", (with Kala Krishna), Economics Letters, 77, 2002, pp. 315-321.
  • "Welfare and Market Access Effects of Piecemeal Tariff Reform", (with Kala Krishna) Journal of International Economics, 51, August 2000, pp.305-316.
  • "Evaluating Trade Reform with Many Consumers", (with Kala Krishna) Canadian Journal of Economics, 33(3), August 2000, pp.787-798.
  • "Necessary Conditions for Welfare Improving Reforms", (with Kala Krishna) Economics Letters, 67(2), May 2000, pp.173-178.
  • "Divisionalization, Franchising, and Divestiture Incentives in Oligopoly", (with Baye and Crocker) American Economic Review, 86, March 1996, pp.223-236.
  • "Divisionalization and Franchising Incentives with Integral Competing Units", (with Baye and Crocker) Economics Letters, 50, March 1996, pp.429-435.

工作论文
  • "When Are Trade Liberalizations a Source of Global Imbalances?" (with Kang Shi and Shang-Jin Wei), 2011
  • "Sticky Current Accounts versus Sticky Labor Markets: Theory and Evidence on the Substitutability between Intra-temporal and Intertemporal Trades" (with Kang Shi and Shang-Jin Wei), 2011
  • "A Two-Sector Eaton and Kortum Model: Trade Patterns and Effects of Technological Improvements" (with Xuebing Yang), 2011
  • "The Cosine-Shaped Pattern of Innovations and Technological Advantage: Theory and Some Evidences" (with Xuebing Yang), 2011
  • "Endowment Structures, Industrial Dynamics and Economic Growth" (with Yifu Lin and Yong Wang), Policy Research Working Paper 5055, World Bank 2009.
  • "Financial Development and Production Structures" (with Susan Chun Zhu, Wei-Chih Chen and Kevin Grier ), 2011
  • "Current Account Adjustment in a Model with Multiple Tradable Sectors and Labor Market Rigidities", (with Shang-Jin Wei), 2009
  • "Current Account Adjustment: Some New Theory and Evidence" (with Shang-Jin Wei), NBER Working Paper 13388, 2007.
  • "A Solution to Two Paradoxes of International Capital Flow", (with Shang-Jin Wei), NBER Working Paper 12668, 2006.
  • "Endowment versus Finance: A Wooden Barrel Theory of International Trade", (with Shang-Jin Wei), (with Shang-Jin Wei) CEPR Working Paper 5109, 2005.
  • "Aggregate Surplus and Potential Pareto Improvement", 2008
  • "Frictional Unemployment and Periodical Price Adjustment in Transition Periods", 2004
  • "Efficient Welfare Function and Optimal Income Distribution", SSRN Working Paper 304680
  • "The Measurement of Welfare", SSRN Working Paper 244011

进行中的研究
  • "Technology Upgrading and Industrial Policies" (with Yifu Justin Lin and Yong Wang)
  • "Real Exchange Rates and Current Account Imbalances in an Economy With Excess Supply of Labor" (with Yifu Justin Lin and Qing Liu)
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全部回复
2013-2-25 08:46:54
坛友yeting2000:
鞠老师:
    您好!感谢您百忙之中抽出宝贵时间为我们解答问题,我的问题是:从历史上看,产业的市场集中与空间集聚是现代产业组织演进的两条基本路径。现阶段,我国中央及地方ZF在推进产业组织调整优化的过程中,分别提出要发展有竞争力的大企业和产业集群的战略。但在现实中,应如何处理二者之间的关系,以更有效地提升产业的竞争力,尤其是面对既存在着以中小企业为主体的企业集群,同时也存在以大型企业为主体的产业集群时如何协调、融合,形成优势互补?
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2013-2-25 08:47:13
坛友remlus:
鞠老师,您好,我看到excess supply什么的就两眼放光。请教一下,在一般均衡模型里面,类似产能过剩、劳动力过剩该怎么刻画呢?
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2013-2-25 08:47:30
坛友eric_yan:
感谢鞠老师的解答,我的问题是:1979年Krugman在Vernon(1966)产品生命周期假说的基础上,首次对国际贸易中的创新行为和技术转移正式建立模型并发展成为南北贸易模型。该模型阐述了国际贸易中垄断和竞争此消彼长的真实情况。 现在中国市场也出现了类似的现象,一方面是社会财富的迅速积累和居民消费水平快速增长。另一方面,入世之后我国进口品的增加也使得国内消费者必然会在国内产品和进口品之间做出选择。根据Baldwin(1992)的研究成果,进口竞争会迫使本国创新者选择加快创新步伐以避免被进口品所代替。当然,也有很多学者认为由贸易自由化带来的激励的竞争会削弱企业的利润从而会减少企业的创新行为。那么,进口竞争对中国国内企业创新是积极的还是消极的呢?
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2013-2-25 08:47:50
坛友Ray啊Ray:
鞠老师您好!我最近在尝试研究我国企业FDI的问题,我看到自MELITZ(2003)在ECONOMETRICA的文章以来很多研究者都倾向于在生产率决定FDI的这个框架下研究这个问题,但是我个人认为对我国企业来说FDI的决策还受到所有制、行业特征、资本的可得性等一系列问题的影响。
我的问题是:像所有制、行业这些因素,更多地是直接对FDI产生影响呢?还是最终也通过生产率这一因素对FDI产生影响?或者说您认为除了相同所有制、相同行业内由生产率不同引起的FDI的不同外,不同的所有制以及行业之间的FDI是否存在其他本质上(即非生产率引致的)的差异?
多谢老师!
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2013-2-25 08:48:05
坛友jocelyn4526:
请问鞠老师如何看待美国宽松的货币与财政政策对我国通胀的溢出效应?政策实施对他国的外部溢出效应选用怎样的数理与实证模型来刻画最合理?谢谢老师~
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