为了消除自相关,DW值小的问题,我做了如下回归,
Dependent Variable: LNLP1
Method: Least Squares
Date: 03/09/13 Time: 12:58
Sample (adjusted): 1992 2011
Included observations: 20 after adjustments
Convergence achieved after 7 iterations
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
LNTP1 -0.037299 0.035697 -1.044872 0.3116
C 4.354314 0.040793 106.7411 0.0000
AR(1) 1.277739 0.207341 6.162501 0.0000
AR(2) -0.414684 0.197677 -2.097783 0.0522
之后做误差修正模型,结果如下,可是怎么后来怎么t值变小了,误差修正项系数为正啊?哪里做错了啊?求助啊!
R-squared 0.928835 Mean dependent var 4.395960
Adjusted R-squared 0.915492 S.D. dependent var 0.057183
S.E. of regression 0.016623 Akaike info criterion -5.179171
Sum squared resid 0.004421 Schwarz criterion -4.980024
Log likelihood 55.79171 F-statistic 69.61034
Durbin-Watson stat 2.184401 Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
Inverted AR Roots .64-.08i .64+.08i
Dependent Variable: D(LNLP1)
Method: Least Squares
Date: 03/09/13 Time: 13:03
Sample (adjusted): 1994 2011
Included observations: 18 after adjustments
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
D(LNTP1) -0.014295 0.050638 -0.282304 0.7813
UT1(-1) 0.333430 0.282063 1.182110 0.2544
R-squared -0.267049 Mean dependent var -0.010873
Adjusted R-squared -0.346239 S.D. dependent var 0.018202
S.E. of regression 0.021120 Akaike info criterion -4.772798
Sum squared resid 0.007137 Schwarz criterion -4.673868
Log likelihood 44.95518 Durbin-Watson stat 1.486940
之后做误差修正模型,结果如下,可是怎么后来怎么t值变小了,误差修正项系数为正啊?哪里做错了啊?求助啊!