求教高人帮忙解决。。
我想建一个误差修正模型,目前遇到的问题是:ur,lnui~I(2),协整,但是按照高铁梅书上讲的建误差修正模型,出来的结果很不好。麻烦哪位高手支支招,小女子在此不胜感激。。
Dependent Variable: D(UR,2)
Method: Least Squares
Date: 03/20/11 Time: 11:23
Sample (adjusted): 1991 2009
Included observations: 19 after adjustments
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C -0.006745 0.078573 -0.085844 0.9327
D(LNUI) 0.019911 0.265910 0.074879 0.9412
ECM(-1) -0.366519 0.185297 -1.978006 0.0654
R-squared 0.261664 Mean dependent var 0.010526
Adjusted R-squared 0.169372 S.D. dependent var 0.199707
S.E. of regression 0.182011 Akaike info criterion -0.425561
Sum squared resid 0.530048 Schwarz criterion -0.276439
Log likelihood 7.042828 Hannan-Quinn criter. -0.400323
F-statistic 2.835173 Durbin-Watson stat 2.096039
Prob(F-statistic) 0.088315