Wealth is transferred within China.
• Losers: those who long dollars against RMB (PBoC, exporters and their employees)
Winners: those who short dollars against RMB (everyone else - implicitly short dollars to the extent that there are imported goods in their life)
• Because much of this shift of wealth benefits households at expense of the state and manufacturers, one of the automatic consequences of a revaluation will be an increase in household wealth and, with it, household consumption. If household consumption rises, household savings will decline.
• Moreover, the higher RMB may reduce production in the tradable goods sector. The combination of higher consumption and lower production reduces the savings rate even more. If there is no change or not enough change in investment, China's trade surplus will decline even further.