The American Economic Review
Volume 88, Issue 2
May 1998, 72-74.
It is commonly said, and it may be true, that the new institutional economics started with my article, “The Nature of the Firm” (1937) with its explicit introduction of transaction costs into economic analysis. But it needs to be remembered that the source of a mighty river is a puny little stream and that it derives its strength from the tributaries that contribute to its bulk. So it is in this case. I am not thinking only of the contributions of other economists such as Oliver Williamson, Harold Demsetz, and Steven Cheung, important though they have been, but also of the work of our colleagues in law, anthropology, sociology, political science, sociobiology, and other disciplines.
The phrase, “the new institutional economics,” was coined by Oliver Williamson. It was intended to differentiate the subject from the “old institutional economics.” John R. Commons, Wesley Mitchell, and those associated with them were men of great intellectual stature, but they were anti-theoretical, and without a theory to bind together their collection of facts, they had very little that they were able to pass on. Certain it is that mainstream economics proceeded on its way without any significant change. And it continues to do so. I should explain that, when I speak of mainstream economics, I am referring to micro-economics. Whether my strictures apply also to macroeconomics I leave to others.
Mainstream economics, as one sees it in the journals and the textbooks and in the courses taught in economics departments has become more and more abstract over time, and although it purports otherwise, it is in fact little concerned with what happens in the real world. Demsetz has given an explanation of why this has happened: economists since Adam Smith have devoted themselves to formalizing his doctrine of the invisible hand, the coordination of the economic system by the pricing system. It has been an impressive achievement. But, as Demsetz has explained, it is the analysis of a system of extreme decentralization. However, it has other flaws. Adam Smith also pointed out that we should be concerned with the flow of real goods and services over time - and with what determines their variety and magnitude. As it is, economists study how supply and demand determine prices but not with the factors that determine what goods and services are traded on markets and therefore are priced. It is a view disdainful of what happens in the real world, but it is one to which economists have become accustomed, and they live in their world without discomfort. The success of mainstream economics in spite of its defects is a tribute to the staying power of a theoretical underpinning, since mainstream economics is certainly strong on theory if weak on facts. Thus, for example, in the Handbook of Industrial Organization, Bengt Holmstrom and Jean Tirole (1989 p. 126), writing on “The Theory of the Firm,” remark that “the evidence/theory ratio… is currently very low in this field.”
This disregard for what happens concretely in the real world is strengthened by the way economists think of their subject. In my youth, a very popular definition of economics was that provided by Lionel Robbins (1935 p.15) in his book An Essay on the Nature and Significance of Economic Science: “Economics is the science which studies human behaviour as a relationship between ends and scarce means that have alternative uses.” It is the study of human behavior as a relationship. These days economists are more likely to refer
1. Roundtable discussion.
* University of Chicago Law School, 1111 East 60th Street, Chicago, IL 60637-2786.
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to their subject as “the science of human choice” or they talk about “an economic approach.” This is not a recent development. John Maynard Keynes said that the “Theory of Economics ... is a method rather than a doctrine, an apparatus of the mind, a technique of thinking, which helps the possessor to draw correct conclusions” (introduction in H. D. Henderson, 1922 p. v). Joan Robinson (1933 p.1) says in the introduction to her book The Economics of Imperfect Competition that it “is presented to the analytical economist as a box of tools.” What this comes down to is that economists think of themselves as having a box of tools but no subject matter. It reminds me of two lines from a modern poet (I forget the poem and the poet but the lines are indeed memorable):
I see the bridle and the bit all right
But where’s the bloody horse?
I have expressed the same thought by saying that we study the circulation of the blood without a body. In saying this I should not be thought to imply that these analytical tools are not extremely valuable. I am delighted when our colleagues in law use them to study the working of the legal system or when those in political science use them to study the working of the political system. My point is different. I think we should use these analytical tools to study the economic system. I think economists do have a subject matter: the study of the working of the economic system, a system in which we earn and spend our incomes. The welfare of a human society depends on the flow of goods and services, and this in turn depends on the productivity of the economic system. Adam Smith explained that the productivity of the economic system depends on specialization (he says the division of labor), but specialization is only possible if there is exchange - and the lower the costs of exchange (transaction costs if you will), the more specialization there will be and the greater the productivity of the system. But the costs of exchange depend on the institutions of a country: its legal system, its political system, its social system, its educational system, its culture, and so on. In effect it is the institutions that govern the performance of an economy, and it is this that gives the “new institutional economics” its importance for economists.
That such work is needed is made clear by another feature of economics. Apart from the formalization of the theory, the way we look at the working of the economic system has been extraordinarily static over the years. Economists often take pride in the fact that Charles Darwin came to his theory of evolution as a result of reading Thomas Malthus and Adam Smith. But contrast the developments in biology since Darwin with what has happened in economics since Adam Smith. Biology has been transformed. Biologists now have a detailed understanding of the complicated structures that govern the functioning of living organisms. I believe that one day we will have similar triumphs in economics. But it will not be easy. Even if we start with the relatively simple analysis of “The Nature of the Firm,” discovering the factors that determine the relative costs of coordination by management within the firm or by transactions on the market is no simple task. However, this is not by any means the whole story. We cannot confine our analysis to what happens within a single firm. This is what I said in a lecture published in Lives of the Laureates (Coase, 1995 p.245): “The costs of coordination within a firm and the level of transaction costs that it faces are affected by its ability to purchase inputs from other firms, and their ability to supply these inputs depends in part on their costs of coordination and the level of transaction costs that they face which are similarly affected by what these are in still other firms. What we are dealing with is a complex interrelated structure.” Add to this the influence of the laws, of the social system, and of the culture, as well as the effects of technological changes such as the digital revolution with its dramatic fall in information costs (a major component of transaction costs), and you have a complicated set of interrelationships the nature of which will take much dedicated work over a long period to discover. But when this is done, all of economics will have become what we now call “the new institutional economics.”
This change will not come about, in my view, as a result of a frontal assault on mainstream economics. It will come as a result of economists
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in branches or subsections of economics adopting a different approach, as indeed is already happening. When the majority of economists have changed, mainstream economists will acknowledge the importance of examining the economic system in this way and will claim that they knew it all along.
REFERENCES
Coase, Ronald H. “The Nature of the Firm.” Economica, November 1937, 4, pp. 386-405.
“My Evolution as an Economist,” in William Breit and Roger W. Spencer, eds., Lives of the laureates. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 1995, pp. 227-49.
Henderson, H. D. Supply and demand. London: Nisbet, 1922.
Holmstrom, Bengt and Tirole, Jean. “The Theory of the Firm,” in Richard Schmalensee and Robert D. Willig, eds., Handbook of industrial organization. Amsterdam: North-Holland, 1989, pp. 61-128.
Robbins, Lionel. An essay on the nature and significance of economic science. London: Macmillan, 1935.
Robinson, Joan. The economics of imperfect competition. London: Macmillan, 1933.
[此贴子已经被作者于2004-7-1 20:32:19编辑过]
这篇演讲稿与前面贴过的《经济学为什么要改变》内容差不多,因此不作专门评论。
科斯著作的中文文集《企业、市场与法律》(上海三联版)收录了科斯1984年在一次新制度经济学会议上的一篇演讲稿,题目也是“关于新制度经济学”。我将其主要内容提炼如下:
1、新制度经济学(NIE)这个概念最先来自威廉姆森,它与旧制度经济学(美国制度主义)以及与之相似的德国历史学派的主要区别在于,旧制度经济学(和德国历史学派)只是对制度的描述,没有完整的理论,只是对古典经济学的批判,甚至是反理论的。科斯嘲笑它们“除了一堆需要理论来整理不然就只能一把火烧掉的描述性材料外,没有任何东西流传下来”。当代制度经济学(新制度经济学)与非制度经济学的区别,不在于是否谈制度,而在于是否利用正统经济理论去分析制度的构成和运行,并发现制度在经济体系中的地位和作用。也就是说,新制度经济学其实是利用新古典的一些分析(如边际替代)来分析制度,而不是抛弃新古典理论。这意味着,新制度经济学完全可以利用数学模型来分析问题。固守传统的文字分析方法而忽略甚至藐视数学的应用,注定是要吃亏的。
2、但是这并不意味着科斯赞成新古典经济学。他认为新古典经济学是“黑板经济学”。首先,“理性人”的假设既不现实也没必要。他引用巴特曼的话说,疯子其实也在进行计算。新制度经济学的人性假设应该从现实出发,从制度所赋予的约束条件出发。这倒有点像我们的老祖宗马克思的观点——人性是社会关系的总和。当然,这个问题并不是没有障碍,事实上,如何用有限理性建模一直是当代经济学一个巨大的障碍。不完全契约理论正面临着这一个根本性挑战。3、其次,科斯认为,那种将理想状况与现实对比然后给出政策建议的做法是没有意义的。经济学家应该从现实出发解释制度、修改制度,“对经济政策的选择是对制度的选择”。我认为,这对那些动辄从数学模型出发来谈论中国政策建议的人,无疑是当头棒喝。
罗纳德·科斯
《美国经济评论》1998年五月号,第88卷。
人们普遍认为,新制度经济学发轫于我的论文《企业的性质》(1937),该篇文章将交易成本明确地引入了经济学分析。事实也许就是如此。然而需要指出的是,涓涓细流汇成的江河,其浩瀚力量来源于渺小的支流。我愿意提及奥利弗·威廉姆森、哈罗德·德姆塞茨、张五常等经济学家在这方面的贡献,同时也想到了那些在法律学、人类学、社会学、政治学、社会生物学和其他学科同事们的工作。
“新制度经济学”这一用语,是由奥利弗·威廉姆森界定的,意在区别“旧制度经济学”。约翰·R·康芒斯、韦斯利·米切尔和其他旧制度经济学家都是伟大的天才人物,但他们都是反理论的,并没有一个理论来整合他们所收集的事实,因此难以继续向前。的确,目前仍然是主流经济学所向披靡,这一点没有显著的变化。应该指出,当提及主流经济学时我指的是微观经济学。我的分析是否也适用于宏观经济学,留待他人下结论吧。
正如人们在期刊、教科书和经济系的讲台上所看到的那样,主流经济学变得越来越抽象了,与发生在真实世界中的事情越来越没有多大联系,尽管它声称并非如此。德姆塞茨解释这一现象时说,自亚当·斯密以来,经济学家们奉献了他们的毕生经历,使“看不见的手”——通过价格机制使整个经济体系协调的原理——形式化。他们取得了令人瞩目的成就。但是正如德姆塞茨所说,这是一种对极端分散化经济体制的分析,还有其他支流。亚当·斯密也曾指出,我们应关注真实的货物和服务流以及决定他们的种类和规模是什么。经济学家研究供求如何决定价格,而不用市场所交易和定价的货物和服务作为对象。他们对真实世界发生的事情充满了轻蔑,而这个真实世界就是他们生活于其中并且没有感到任何不舒服的世界。抛开其种种缺陷不说,如果说主流经济学在事实上是虚弱的而理论是强有力的,那么它的成功在于保持了理论基础的力量。因而,霍尔姆斯特朗和泰罗在《产业组织指南》(1989)中对“厂商理论”所作的评论为:“在这个领域中,证据与理论的比率目前是非常低的”。
不顾真实世界发生什么这一事实,被经济学家们思考问题的方式所强化。在我的青年时代,人们最普遍接受的经济学定义是莱昂纳多·罗宾斯在其论著《经济科学的性质和意义的论文》中提出的,,“经济学是研究可选择用途的稀缺手段与目的之间相互关系之人类行为科学”,这是把人类行为视为一种关系的研究。今天,经济学家们更愿意把他们的对象看成是“人类选择的科学“,或者他们所说的“经济方法”。其实这并不是最近的发展,约翰·梅纳德·凯恩斯说,“经济学理论-------是方法而非教条,是一种思维工具,思考技术,它们有助于经济学家得出结论”。琼·罗宾逊介绍她的论著《不完全竞争经济学》时说,“它本质上提供给经济学家一箱子工具”。结果,经济学家们只想到他们有一箱子分析工具而没有了主题,这不禁使我想起两行现代诗(我忘记了作者和诗名,但诗句印象非常深刻):
我看见马笼头完美无缺,
但是血肉之躯在哪儿呢?
我已经表达过同样的想法:我们在研究没有躯体的血液循环!
说这些并不意味着这些分析工具绝对没有价值。我很高兴地看到,我的同事们在法学中运用它们研究法律体系,在政治学中运用它们研究政治系统。我的观点不同之处在于:我认为经济学家的确应该有一个主题,来研究这个我们在其中生生不息的经济体系的运行。人类社会的福利有赖于商品和服务流,后者又依赖于经济体制的生产力。亚当·斯密解释说,经济体系的生产力决定于专业化(他说的是分工),但是专业化只有在存在交换才是现实的——并且交换成本(如果你愿意也可以说交易成本)越低,则专业化分工越细密,经济体系的生产力就越大。然而交换的成本又依存于一个国家的制度:它的法律制度,政治制度,社会制度,教育制度,它的文化等等。事实上,是制度支配着经济的运行,也正基于此经济学家们才认识到“新制度经济学”的重要性。
这项工作被另一种类型的经济学家们加以阐明。除了理论的形式化,我们看待经济体系的运转的方式在经历了多年之后表现得异常稳定。经济学家们经常感到自豪的是:查理· 达尔文得出他的进化论是阅读了亚当·斯密和托马斯·马尔萨斯论著的结果。但对比一下查理·达尔文之后生物学取得的进展和亚当·斯密之后经济学的进展,我们不难看出生物学已发生了改变,生物学家现在对支配生命组织功能的复杂结构已经有了一个详尽的理解。我确信有一天我们在经济学上也能取得类似的成就。这当然绝非易事。即使我们起始于分析相对简单的“企业的性质”,揭示企业内部管理或市场交易协作的成本决定因素,也不是一项简单的工作。而这还绝不是问题的全部,我们不能把我们的分析限定于单个企业内部发生的事情。这就是我在《获奖者的生活》(科斯,1995,P.245)中的一个演讲所说的,“企业内部的协作成本和它面临的交易成本有赖于从其他企业购入投入的能力,而那些提供投入的企业能力又部分地依赖于它们的协作成本和它们面临的交易成本。这些企业所面临的交易成本,又受到市场里其他企业类似地影响。我们所要处理的是一个复杂的、相互联系的结构。”加入法律的、社会体系的或者文化的影响,以及技术进步的影响,如数字革命带来的信息成本显著下降(交易成本的一个主要组成部分),你会面临一系列复杂的相互关系,它们的性质需要花相当漫长的艰苦工作才能发现。当所有这一切完成时,全部经济学都将成为我们今天所谓的“新制度经济学”。
我的观点是,作为一个对主流经济学进行前沿性挑战的结果,上述转变尚未成功。但伴随着经济学家在经济学的分支或子分支里采用一种不同以往的方法,它终将会发生,并且事实上正在发生。当大多数经济学家已经转变时,主流经济学家们将会认识到采用这种方式审视经济学的重要性,并声称,他们早已通晓很久了。
翻译不当之处,还望各位大虾不吝赐教。
[此贴子已经被作者于2006-12-26 12:45:08编辑过]
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