减少美元外汇储备这是最好最有利的武器

讨论采取什么反制措施之前，需要先弄清
1、什么是“特保”？
2、美国此次动作是否符合中国加入WTO时与美国签订的协议？
3、是否符合WTO的相关规则？

“特保”是“特定产品过渡性保障机制”和“特殊保障措施”的简称。《中华人民共和国加入WTO议定书》第16条：中国产品在出口有关WTO成员国时，如果数量增加幅度过大，以至于对这些成员的相关产业造成“严重损害”或构成“严重损害威胁”时，那么这些WTO成员可单独针对中国产品采取保障措施。“特保”实施的期限为2001年12月11日至2013年12月11日。

在采取措施之前，请先将现状与这个条款仔细对比。嗓门大、分贝高不代表一定有道理。

当然，如果不准备再遵守规则，撕破脸皮开打贸易战好了，大家也可看看最后是谁先顶不住。

是骡子是马，拉出来遛遛就知道了。

扩大我们自己的内需 最有利的武器

最根本的问题还是解决出口产品的科技含量。

中国加入WTO议定书第16款英文

16. Transitional Product-Specific Safeguard Mechanism

（1）In cases where products of Chinese origin are being imported into the territory of any WTO Member in such increased quantities or under such conditions as to cause or threaten to cause market disruption to the domestic producers of like or directly competitive products, the WTO Member so affected may request consultations with China with a view to seeking a mutually satisfactory solution, including whether the affected WTO Member should pursue application of a measure under the Agreement on Safeguards. Any such request shall be notified immediately to the Committee on Safeguards.

（2）If, in the course of these bilateral consultations, it is agreed that imports of Chinese origin are such a cause and that action is necessary, China shall take such action as to prevent or remedy the market disruption. Any such action shall be notified immediately to the Committee on Safeguards.

（3）If consultations do not lead to an agreement between China and the WTO Member concerned within 60 days of the receipt of a request for consultations, the WTO Member affected shall be free, in respect of such products, to withdraw concessions or otherwise to limit imports only to the extent necessary to prevent or remedy such market disruption. Any such action shall be notified immediately to the Committee on Safeguards.

（4） Market disruption shall exist whenever imports of an article, like or directly competitive with an article produced by the domestic industry, are increasing rapidly, either absolutely or relatively, so as to be a significant cause of material injury, or threat of material injury to the domestic industry. In determining if market disruption exists, the affected WTO Member shall consider objective factors, including the volume of imports, the effect of imports on prices for like or directly competitive articles, and the effect of such imports on the domestic industry producing like or directly competitive products.

（5）Prior to application of a measure pursuant to paragraph 3, the WTO Member taking such action shall provide reasonable public notice to all interested parties and provide adequate opportunity for importers, exporters and other interested parties to submit their views and evidence on the appropriateness of the proposed measure and whether it would be in the public interest. The WTO Member shall provide written notice of the decision to apply a measure, including the reasons for such measure and its scope and duration.

（6） A WTO Member shall apply a measure pursuant to this Section only for such period of time as may be necessary to prevent or remedy the market disruption. If a measure is taken as a result of a relative increase in the level of imports, China has the right to suspend the application of substantially equivalent concessions or obligations under the GATT 1994 to the trade of the WTO Member applying the measure, if such measure remains in effect more than two years. However, if a measure is taken as a result of an absolute increase in imports, China has a right to suspend the application of substantially equivalent concessions or obligations under the GATT 1994 to the trade of the WTO Member applying the measure, if such measure remains in effect more than three years. Any such action by China shall be notified immediately to the Committee on Safeguards.

（7）In critical circumstances, where delay would cause damage which it would be difficult to repair, the WTO Member so affected may take a provisional safeguard measure pursuant to a preliminary determination that imports have caused or threatened to cause market disruption. In this case, notification of the measures taken to the Committee on Safeguards and a request for bilateral consultations shall be effected immediately thereafter. The duration of the provisional measure shall not exceed 200 days during which the pertinent requirements of paragraphs 1, 2 and 5 shall be met. The duration of any provisional measure shall be counted toward the period provided for under paragraph 6.

（8）If a WTO Member considers that an action taken under paragraphs 2, 3 or 7 causes or threatens to cause significant diversions of trade into its market, it may request consultations with China and/or the WTO Member concerned. Such consultations shall be held within 30 days after the request is notified to the Committee on Safeguards. If such consultations fail to lead to an agreement between China and the WTO Member or Members concerned within 60 days after the notification, the requesting WTO Member shall be free, in respect of such product, to withdraw concessions accorded to or otherwise limit imports from China, to the extent necessary to prevent or remedy such diversions. Such action shall be notified immediately to the Committee on Safeguards.

（9） Application of this Section shall be terminated 12 years after the date of accession.

中华人民共和国加入世界贸易组织议定书

第16条　特定产品过渡性保障机制
　　1．如原产于中国的产品在进口至任何WTO成员领土时，其增长的数量或所依据的条件对生产同类产品或直接竞争产品的国内生产者造成或威胁造成市场扰乱，则受此影响的WTO成员可请求与中国进行磋商，以期寻求双方满意的解决办法，包括受影响的成员是否应根据《保障措施协定》采取措施。任何此种请求应立即通知保障措施委员会。
　　2．如在这些双边磋商过程中，双方同意原产于中国的进口产品是造成此种情况的原因并有必要采取行动，则中国应采取行动以防止或补救此种市场扰乱。任何此类行动应立即通知保障措施委员会。
　　3．如磋商未能使中国与有关WTO成员在收到磋商请求后60天内达成协议，则受影响的WTO成员有权在防止或补救此种市场扰乱所必需的限度内，对此类产品撤销减让或限制进口。任何此类行动应立即通知保障措施委员会。
　　4．市场扰乱应在下列情况下存在：一项产品的进口快速增长，无论是绝对增长还是相对增长，从而构成对生产同类产品或直接竞争产品的国内产业造成实质损害或实质损害威胁的一个重要原因。在认定是否存在市场扰乱时，受影响的WTO成员应考虑客观因素，包括进口量、进口产品对同类产品或直接竞争产品价格的影响以及此类进口产品对生产同类产品或直接竞争产品的国内产业的影响。
　　5．在根据第3款采取措施之前，采取此项行动的WTO成员应向所有利害关系方提供合理的公告，并应向进口商、出口商及其他利害关系方提供充分机会，供其就拟议措施的适当性及是否符合公众利益提出意见和证据。该WTO成员应提供关于采取措施的决定的书面通知，包括采取该措施的理由及其范围和期限。
　　6．一WTO成员只能在防止和补救市场扰乱所必需的时限内根据本条采取措施。如一措施是由于进口水平的相对增长而采取的，而且如该项措施持续有效的期限超过2年，则中国有权针对实施该措施的WTO成员的贸易暂停实施GATT1994项下实质相当的减让或义务。但是，如一措施是由于进口的绝对增长而采取的，而且如该措施持续有效的期限超过3年，则中国有权针对实施该措施的WTO成员的贸易暂停实施GATT1994项下实质相当的减让或义务。中国采取的任何此种行动应立即通知保障措施委员会。
　　7．在迟延会造成难以补救的损害的紧急情况下，受影响的WTO成员可根据一项有关进口产品已经造成或威胁造成市场扰乱的初步认定，采取临时保障措施。在此种情况下，应在采取措施后立即向保障措施委员会作出有关所采取措施的通知，并提出进行双边磋商的请求。临时措施的期限不得超过200天，在此期间，应符合第1款、第2款和第5款的有关要求。任何临时措施的期限均应计入第6款下规定的期限。
　　8．如一WTO成员认为根据第2款、第3款或第7款采取的行动造成或威胁造成进入其市场的重大贸易转移，则该成员可请求与中国和/或有关WTO成员进行磋商。此类磋商应在向保障措施委员会作出通知后30天内举行。如此类磋商未能在作出通知后60天内使中国与一个或多个有关WTO成员达成协议，则请求进行磋商的WTO成员在防止或补救此类贸易转移所必需的限度内，有权针对该产品撤销减让或限制自中国的进口。此种行动应立即通知保障措施委员会。
　　9．本条的适用应在加入之日后12年终止。

中国橡胶工业协会副秘书长徐文英指出四大抗辩理由：
    第一，中国输美轮胎的细分市场集中在低端、低价的非品牌更替轮胎，这与美国本土轮胎制造商瞄准的高端品牌轮胎有明显区别。
    第二，中国输美轮胎销量未出现连续快速增长。在2007年至2008年间，中国输美轮胎总金额占美国消费的比例仅增长2.7个百分点。今年前五个月对美出口额下降超过15%。
    第三，美国汽车和轮胎相关行业协会及企业，集体反对采取特保措施，因为这将提高美国厂商的轮胎购进价格，最终损害美国消费者利益。
    第四，中国轮胎生产企业仍以满足中国国内市场需求为主，美国并不是主要销售地。

美国钢铁工人联合会申请对中方进口轮胎实行特保措施的理由：
中国轮胎进口货值从2004年至2008年增长295%，期间美国本土生产的轮胎市场份额下降25%，约有5100名美国轮胎制造业工人因此失业。北美钢铁工人联合会主席LeoGerard则认为每年4600万个中国轮胎进入本国原本已经萎缩的市场后，使自己的轮胎业面临崩溃。

控方和辩方的理由都有了，对照《中华人民共和国加入世界贸易组织议定书》第16条，可以讨论哪方的理由更有说服力。

受教、学习、帮顶。

内需，内需啊~！

楼主可以看下新闻，已经有行动了，商务部准备立案了，目标是肉鸡和汽车~~

I agree on 第二打赢了中国的损失也会比美国大

应该也调整国内的产业政策，除了提高自己的科技外，也应该实施反击措施：
　　1、从美国进口的汽车；
　　2、大豆；尤其是转基因大豆
　　3、玉米；

等等规范我国产业的措施

先不着急谈这个  先谈判哈

建立完整的福利体制，拉动内需，提高产品的科技含量

It is not clear cut that the US measures are in accordance with WTO safeguard rules and not a disguised protection.
China should have prepared itself much earlier, so appropriate counter measures could be taken immediately following the US decision. But any counter measures should be in accordance with WTO rules.
The US is notorious in designing and using various protective measures. It did this to Japan when Japan was very competitive in the 70s and 80s.
Now the US economy has been in serious trouble, so it is only natural for it to employ old tricks to please its domestic audience.

破罐破摔,抛售美国国债,疯狂购买资源类产品......

拜托，大豆，玉米要搞的话，就等着物价上涨吧，中国只能轻闹几下。在物欲横流的时下，国的概念就像肥皂泡，不断制造，不断破灭。这是一片神奇的土地，，

美国大豆对中国大豆产业冲击太大了

个人叫嚣不如国家呐喊！国强则民强！

5# hutuderen
日子不过了

我认为最好的还是与其积极的沟通，往往是沟通不善带来误解

=======================================
高人啊，哈哈

减持美国国债~~~~哈哈

几乎没有。。。。因为中国每年都是贸易顺差，而且中国是出口大国，对美国的依赖性比美国对此国的依赖性要强，，，，中国的盗版货也是美国经济的一大打击之一。。。。。。忍吧。。。。。只能抗议，，，游行，，，示威这些笨蛋作为了