我们计量的课程论文,残差检验有异方差,但是加权最小二乘法后又出现自相关问题,用一阶的广义差分法也消除不了,请问应该怎么办呢?
这是怀特检验的结果
White Heteroskedasticity Test:
F-statistic 31.28428 Probability 0.000000
Obs*R-squared 25.46261 Probability 0.002500
Test Equation:
Dependent Variable: RESID^2
Method: Least Squares
Date: 08/03/09 Time: 07:07
Sample: 1983 2009
Included observations: 27
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C -1324631. 4238313. -0.312537 0.7584
X6 274.5861 986.4711 0.278352 0.7841
X6^2 0.145826 0.020480 7.120255 0.0000
X6*X5 -8.902415 4.936821 -1.803269 0.0891
X6*X4 -0.333687 0.033927 -9.835300 0.0000
X5 71237.29 49820.57 1.429877 0.1709
X5^2 -174.6775 230.2971 -0.758488 0.4585
X5*X4 21.05025 3.586716 5.868949 0.0000
X4 -2281.910 846.3889 -2.696054 0.0153
X4^2 0.119567 0.013572 8.809634 0.0000
R-squared 0.943060 Mean dependent var 4987819.
Adjusted R-squared 0.912915 S.D. dependent var 13268959
S.E. of regression 3915694. Akaike info criterion 33.47700
Sum squared resid 2.61E+14 Schwarz criterion 33.95694
Log likelihood -441.9395 F-statistic 31.28428
Durbin-Watson stat 3.490797 Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
权数用了1/X4之后
White Heteroskedasticity Test:
F-statistic 0.551032 Probability 0.817621
Obs*R-squared 6.097683 Probability 0.730103
Test Equation:
Dependent Variable: STD_RESID^2
Method: Least Squares
Date: 08/03/09 Time: 07:09
Sample: 1983 2009
Included observations: 27
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 19601.38 163731.9 0.119716 0.9061
X6 31.83019 38.10873 0.835247 0.4152
X6^2 0.000328 0.000791 0.414533 0.6837
X6*X5 -0.089872 0.190716 -0.471236 0.6435
X6*X4 -0.000220 0.001311 -0.167970 0.8686
X5 757.1888 1924.637 0.393419 0.6989
X5^2 -2.351286 8.896692 -0.264288 0.7947
X5*X4 0.121924 0.138560 0.879941 0.3912
X4 -37.09296 32.69717 -1.134440 0.2724
X4^2 -0.000217 0.000524 -0.414574 0.6836
R-squared 0.225840 Mean dependent var 133025.5
Adjusted R-squared -0.184009 S.D. dependent var 139018.1
S.E. of regression 151268.7 Akaike info criterion 26.96962
Sum squared resid 3.89E+11 Schwarz criterion 27.44956
Log likelihood -354.0899 F-statistic 0.551032
Durbin-Watson stat 2.364152 Prob(F-statistic) 0.817621
但是这时的DW值变小了
Dependent Variable: Y
Method: Least Squares
Date: 08/03/09 Time: 07:11
Sample: 1983 2009
Included observations: 27
Weighting series: 1/X4
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
X6 1.862733 0.022604 82.40787 0.0000
X5 18.03562 3.486012 5.173710 0.0000
X4 0.823781 0.089580 9.196043 0.0000
Weighted Statistics
R-squared 0.996726 Mean dependent var 17169.65
Adjusted R-squared 0.996454 S.D. dependent var 8162.580
S.E. of regression 486.0930 Akaike info criterion 15.31512
Sum squared resid 5670875. Schwarz criterion 15.45910
Log likelihood -203.7541 F-statistic 3653.721
Durbin-Watson stat 0.693058 Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
Unweighted Statistics
R-squared 0.999061 Mean dependent var 94740.78
Adjusted R-squared 0.998983 S.D. dependent var 96092.44
S.E. of regression 3064.712 Sum squared resid 2.25E+08
Durbin-Watson stat 1.283074
请问该怎么办呢?本人只是初学者,那位大侠给予赐教,感激不尽啊。谢谢