我的var模型进行完LM检验后全部结果如下:
VAR Residual Serial Correlation LM Tests
Null Hypothesis: no serial correlation at lag order h
Date: 12/05/10 Time: 22:27
Sample: 1979 2008
Included observations: 27
Lags LM-Stat Prob
1 33.29860 0.0067
2 12.59542 0.7021
3 11.25564 0.7934
4 12.25033 0.7266
5 15.92674 0.4581
6 8.844487 0.9197
7 10.42952 0.8433
8 20.75486 0.1881
9 20.56414 0.1959
10 7.213339 0.9689
11 7.497524 0.9624
12 9.140928 0.9075
Probs from chi-square with 16 df.
请问:
这个表怎么看?第一阶p过小,而后面几阶p都很大,这意味着通不过自相关检验么?
2
异方差检验结果如下:
VAR Residual Heteroskedasticity Tests: No Cross Terms (only levels and squares)
Date: 12/05/10 Time: 22:32
Sample: 1979 2008
Included observations: 27
Joint test:
Chi-sq df Prob.
246.9857 240 0.3646
Individual components:
Dependent R-squared F(24,2) Prob. Chi-sq(24) Prob.
res1*res1 0.984312 5.228725 0.1728 26.57644 0.3246
res2*res2 0.985638 5.718993 0.1594 26.61222 0.3229
res3*res3 0.898687 0.739201 0.7225 24.26455 0.4466
res4*res4 0.888610 0.664788 0.7576 23.99247 0.4620
res2*res1 0.932585 1.152800 0.5672 25.17981 0.3960
res3*res1 0.749109 0.248817 0.9688 20.22595 0.6839
res3*res2 0.890048 0.674572 0.7529 24.03129 0.4598
res4*res1 0.971801 2.871851 0.2905 26.23863 0.3412
res4*res2 0.995552 18.65255 0.0521 26.87991 0.3101
res4*res3 0.930788 1.120703 0.5771 25.13128 0.3987
这个应该是已经通过检验了吧,但这个表应该怎么看呢?
这两个应该很重要吧,在高铁梅、易丹辉的书上又没有详细说名,总之谢谢高人指点!!