亚太地区区域贸易,有百分之七八十是香港和大陆之间的贸易。如果认为香港可以独立发展,那简直是痴人说梦。如果没有大陆的市场和生产工厂做支撑,非实体经济支持下的香港经济能有多繁荣,想象房地产泡沫破裂和亚洲金融风暴中的景象便得知。老实讲,实在很难想象如果没有中国ZF的鼎力相助,2000年以后的香港会是什么样。 英国人是不会理睬金融风暴中的弱者,因为他们当时也是受害者。
可以肯定的是,所谓的自由和民主的香港,现在加上“有中国特色的”应该更妥帖。五十年以后,可能连“香港本土化”的概念都没有了,因为正在酝酿和执行中的“港深一体化”会使区域变成一个很弱的分割方式。
人的劣根性有一点还未被充分研究和挖掘的,就是在“资本理性”的空间里会“忘祖”,“忘本”和“忘行”。这个相信有很多人都有确凿的实例为证,只是尚未写入教科书而已。
简单的用制度安排和社会性质来定义这个社会的进步与否,是个很愚蠢的做法。老牌资本主义国家英国已经敲响了福利社会动荡的丧钟。ZF扬言要减少福利待遇,想想“棘轮效应”便可预测此政策的后果。如果美国没有强权ZF的存在,这样的动乱在美国造发生了。而且一旦人民运动的神经被激发,就会一波连一波的发展下去。你能说整个社会会倒退到封建社会去吗?我到感觉社会主义给他们指了一条明路。社会主义的香港交了好运,不经意的被指导上了这条路。
正如世界银行主席 World Bank President Robert Zoellick所述,消费者对资本主义的信心已掉入低谷,估计十几年才可能恢复。本来原定去英国的会议,我只好改道去法国了,性命要紧啊。
下面两则消息可部分证实如说所述。source:
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB ... 08232845169592.html
Zoellick Urges Long-Term Fixes .
SYDNEY—The global economy and markets are heading into "a new danger zone" that will require strong policy action to restore confidence, Robert Zoellick, the president of the World Bank, said Sunday.
Bloomberg News
Robert Zoellick
.Europe's spiralling sovereign-debt crisis and a downgrading of the U.S. credit rating have sparked waves of fresh volatility and fueled fears of another global recession as policy makers from developed nations run out of tools to absorb the new shocks.
Endorsing moves by the European Central Bank to buy bonds from distressed euro-zone nations such as Spain and Italy, Mr. Zoellick said that measure will solve only near-term liquidity issues and urged leaders to endorse structural overhauls to boost productivity, job creation and free trade in a push to get growth back on track.
"We are entering a new danger zone," Mr. Zoellick told reporters in Sydney after speaking at a function. "It would be important that the primary economic actors take steps both short and long term to restore confidence."
The developing world faces challenges too, Mr. Zoellick said. Identifying a risk of overheating in China, Mr. Zoellick, who has been the World Bank chief since 2007, said the country's 6.5% inflation number for July—a three-year high—has likely influenced policy makers to allow the yuan to appreciate to combat price pressures, and he called for further appreciation.
"The reason I think you have seen some of this appreciation of the currency is that I think that [July inflation] probably tipped the balance internally that currency appreciation is a way to counter inflation," Mr. Zoellick said in earlier panel remarks.
China's yuan hit a fresh high against the dollar late Friday after the central bank guided its currency upward for the third straight session, marking the yuan's biggest weekly rise since it was unpegged from the greenback last June.
Mr. Zoellick, who is a former deputy secretary of the U.S. State Department, said an inflation rate in China of up to 10% would pose major problems for the country's leadership. He warned that if there is a major slowdown, Beijing may have less policy stimulus available than before due to likely bad loans in the financial system and quickening inflation.
On the role of the U.S. dollar as a reserve currency, Mr. Zoellick said he expects the greenback to remain the primary reserve asset but he called for a multilateral approach which, in time, will see other currencies including the yuan grow as a proportion of global reserve holdings.
World Bank's Zoellick Says Asia Has Limited Stimulus Options
SYDNEY (Dow Jones)--Asia's quick-growing economies have reduced capacity for policy stimulus in the event of another global crisis given the region is running a risk of overheating, World Bank President Robert Zoellick told reporters Tuesday.
Slowing global growth and a wave of volatility on global markets in the aftermath of the U.S. credit rating downgrade and as Europe's debt crisis continues prompted a raft of global policy makers to call for a coordinated approach to restore confidence.
But unlike after the 2008 financial crisis, when massive stimulus from China and others in Asia propelled the world economy, quickening inflation and still strong growth means governments have less flexibility this time round.
"I don't think you can expect the role that they played with big stimulus programs, particularly in China," Zoellick said in a joint press conference with Australia Treasurer Wayne Swan.
Zoellick said concerns in China over inflation has led to an appreciation of the currency, which he welcomed by saying it can help provide stability for the international system.