yayuncao 发表于 2013-4-8 21:55 
希望大神们慷慨赐教啊
d1=log(S(0)/K)+(r+0.5*sigma^2)t/(sigma*sqrt(t))
K=S(0)exp(rt)
=> d1=0.5*sigma*sqrt(t), d2=-0.5*sigma*sqrt(t)
lns(t)~N[lns(0)+(u-0.5*sigma^2)t, sigma^2*t], I think here the mean of lns(t)=0.12t should refer to
(u-0.5*sigma^2)t otherwise you have no solution. Now you get sigma
now you have sigma, t and S(0)
so that you have d1 and d2.
BS price=S(0)N(d1)-Kexp(-rt)N(d2)
K=S(0)exp(rt)
option price=S(0)N(d1)-S(0)N(d2)
Everything is known. You can get the price.