1. 需要是平稳的。但如果y x协整,可以考虑用VECM
如果y x不协整,可以参考Testing for Causality with Wald Tests under Nonregular Conditions. M. Burda 这篇论文。基本思想就是,如果你确定var的滞后阶数为p, 你在var中加入p+1期滞后,然后wald test前p期的联合概率.结果consistent
2. 用varsoc. 观察AIC 或BIC
3. generally, chi2 is used in large sample, while F in finite sample. but they are similar test
[此贴子已经被作者于2008-2-24 22:21:57编辑过]