求计量大神帮我看一眼呐~~~VAR模型中单位根没有全部落在单位圆里,有两个点在外面,值是1.00XX,这样的VAR模型能用吗??貌似方差分析一直不会稳定在某一个值,而且有缓慢增大的趋势:
| 1 | 2.396046 | 100.0000 | 0.000000 |
| 2 | 2.623575 | 99.90276 | 0.097240 |
| 3 | 2.689674 | 99.31681 | 0.683189 |
| 4 | 2.711208 | 99.20120 | 0.798799 |
| 5 | 3.528619 | 99.15077 | 0.849227 |
| 6 | 3.742945 | 99.17382 | 0.826182 |
| 7 | 3.797262 | 99.15861 | 0.841389 |
| 8 | 3.811981 | 99.09888 | 0.901120 |
| 9 | 4.429096 | 99.08467 | 0.915331 |
| 10 | 4.619076 | 99.02883 | 0.971169 |
| 11 | 4.664245 | 99.03572 | 0.964280 |
| 12 | 4.673570 | 99.00725 | 0.992754 |
| 13 | 5.192641 | 99.02348 | 0.976516 |
| 14 | 5.366673 | 98.96740 | 1.032596 |
| 15 | 5.406021 | 98.97318 | 1.026819 |
| 16 | 5.412158 | 98.95514 | 1.044858 |
| 17 | 5.869277 | 98.98045 | 1.019547 |
| 18 | 6.033322 | 98.93561 | 1.064392 |
| 19 | 6.068687 | 98.93996 | 1.060042 |
| 20 | 6.072740 | 98.92639 | 1.073612 |
| 21 | 6.486071 | 98.95271 | 1.047292 |
| 22 | 6.643801 | 98.91711 | 1.082894 |
| 23 | 6.676186 | 98.92060 | 1.079399 |
| 24 | 6.678787 | 98.90971 | 1.090287 |
| 25 | 7.058934 | 98.93464 | 1.065359 |
| 26 | 7.212701 | 98.90563 | 1.094368 |
| 27 | 7.242708 | 98.90854 | 1.091459 |
| 28 | 7.244289 | 98.89958 | 1.100417 |
| 29 | 7.598036 | 98.92261 | 1.077387 |
| 30 | 7.749430 | 98.89839 | 1.101606 |
| 31 | 7.777452 | 98.90083 | 1.099171 |
| 32 | 7.778340 | 98.89337 | 1.106635 |
| 33 | 8.110325 | 98.91453 | 1.085468 |
| 34 | 8.260476 | 98.89395 | 1.106053 |
| 35 | 8.286782 | 98.89597 | 1.104028 |
| 36 | 8.287240 | 98.88971 | 1.110292 |
| 37 | 8.600792 | 98.90917 | 1.090831 |
| 38 | 8.750540 | 98.89145 | 1.108551 |
| 39 | 8.775323 | 98.89311 | 1.106891 |
| 40 | 8.775574 | 98.88784 | 1.112164 |
| 41 | 9.073168 | 98.90576 | 1.094238 |
| 42 | 9.223162 | 98.89037 | 1.109629 |
| 43 | 9.246562 | 98.89170 | 1.108300 |
| 44 | 9.246798 | 98.88727 | 1.112733 |
| 45 | 9.530330 | 98.90381 | 1.096186 |
| 46 | 9.681085 | 98.89036 | 1.109641 |
| 47 | 9.703209 | 98.89139 | 1.108615 |
| 48 | 9.703601 | 98.88768 | 1.112324 |
| 49 | 9.974554 | 98.90298 | 1.097017 |
| 50 | 10.12649 | 98.89117 | 1.108832 |