Date: 05/07/16 Time: 18:49
Sample (adjusted): 1994 2013
Included observations: 20 after adjustments
Trend assumption: No deterministic trend
Series: LNECT LNHJ
Lags interval (in first differences): 2 to 2
Unrestricted Cointegration Rank Test (Trace)
Hypothesized Trace 0.05
No. of CE(s) Eigenvalue Statistic Critical Value Prob.**
None * 0.552891 19.82266 12.32090 0.0023
At most 1 0.169877 3.723621 4.129906 0.0636
Trace test indicates 1 cointegrating eqn(s) at the 0.05 level
* denotes rejection of the hypothesis at the 0.05 level
**MacKinnon-Haug-Michelis (1999) p-values
Unrestricted Cointegration Rank Test (Maximum Eigenvalue)
Hypothesized Max-Eigen 0.05
No. of CE(s) Eigenvalue Statistic Critical Value Prob.**
None * 0.552891 16.09904 11.22480 0.0065
At most 1 0.169877 3.723621 4.129906 0.0636
Max-eigenvalue test indicates 1 cointegrating eqn(s) at the 0.05 level
* denotes rejection of the hypothesis at the 0.05 level
**MacKinnon-Haug-Michelis (1999) p-values
Unrestricted Cointegrating Coefficients (normalized by b'*S11*b=I):
LNECT LNHJ
-1.646915 1.380331
1.865505 -1.823869
Unrestricted Adjustment Coefficients (alpha):
D(LNECT) -0.043476 -0.004094
D(LNHJ) -0.036919 0.044148
1 Cointegrating Equation(s): Log likelihood 51.23815
Normalized cointegrating coefficients (standard error in parentheses)
LNECT LNHJ
1.000000 -0.838131
(0.02282)
Adjustment coefficients (standard error in parentheses)
D(LNECT) 0.071601
(0.01611)
D(LNHJ) 0.060802
(0.04479)
求助!!!!!!!!!!!!!!谢谢!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!