谢谢楼上的,好象大多数经济类时间序列都是即有截距又有趋势,如下例:
year X1 X2 X3 X4 X5
1985 17694.07 4494.20 1230.60 964.80 1077.40
1986 19124.00 4916.00 762.00 950.00 1024.00
1987 20212.00 5267.00 967.00 859.00 1044.00
1988 19692.00 4937.00 735.00 924.00 1056.00
1989 20353.00 4993.00 563.00 959.00 1065.00
1990 21401.47 5503.47 495.13 1008.80 1061.00
1991 21574.27 6133.33 452.53 1163.73 1060.00
1992 21043.50 5975.80 434.40 1245.80 1084.00
1993 20694.10 5300.30 419.50 1087.80 1171.00
1994 21152.10 5783.20 371.70 1056.50 1135.00
1995 22775.70 6907.20 375.90 1125.30 1115.00
1996 24498.15 6733.55 349.46 1207.48 1103.00
1997 23775.09 6475.11 327.01 1311.49 1076.00
1998 25238.84 6527.12 224.43 1401.15 1057.00
1999 25903.71 6898.78 205.00 1302.84 1130.00
2000 23056.11 7494.20 261.66 1184.88 1088.95
2001 24282.05 7094.60 323.09 1248.04 1140.67
2002 24633.71 7143.40 337.79 1393.47 1134.24
2003 24068.16 7220.94 337.38 1409.42 1207.25
2004 25445.67 7271.38 332.10 1378.08 1262.31
2005 26358.30 7278.45 334.75 1354.35 1351.94
2006 28462.98 5983.76 283.08 1378.17 1431.27
2007 29477.51 5642.24 263.17 1585.76 1613.31
2008 29863.71 6593.69 221.49 1743.48 1719.42
请问以上序列都有截距和趋势吗?