JJ检验结果如下,三个变量,但是迹检验说有一个协整关系,最大特征值检验说没有,到底结果应该作何解释呢?多谢多谢! 很着急啊~~~
Date: 12/24/10
Time: 23:20 | | |
Sample (adjusted): 1980 2008 | | |
Included observations: 29 after adjustments | |
Trend assumption: Linear deterministic trend | |
Series: LNY LNI LNC | | |
Lags interval (in first differences): 1 to 1 | |
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Unrestricted Cointegration Rank Test (Trace) | |
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Hypothesized | | Trace | 0.1 | |
No. of CE(s) | Eigenvalue | Statistic | Critical Value | Prob.** |
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None * | 0.469866 | 30.01157 | 27.06695 | 0.0472 |
At most 1 | 0.286684 | 11.60743 | 13.42878 | 0.1768 |
At most 2 | 0.060516 | 1.810321 | 2.705545 | 0.1785 |
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Trace test indicates 1 cointegrating eqn(s) at the 0.1 level |
* denotes rejection of the hypothesis at the 0.1 level | |
**MacKinnon-Haug-Michelis (1999) p-values | |
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Unrestricted Cointegration Rank Test (Maximum Eigenvalue) |
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Hypothesized | | Max-Eigen | 0.1 | |
No. of CE(s) | Eigenvalue | Statistic | Critical Value | Prob.** |
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None | 0.469866 | 18.40414 | 18.89282 | 0.1155 |
At most 1 | 0.286684 | 9.797108 | 12.29652 | 0.2256 |
At most 2 | 0.060516 | 1.810321 | 2.705545 | 0.1785 |
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Max-eigenvalue test indicates no cointegration at the 0.1 level |