Date: 03/28/09 Time: 16:34
Sample (adjusted): 1992Q4 2008Q4
Included observations: 65 after adjustments
Trend assumption: No deterministic trend
Series: GDPDEFLATER1 LNGDP1OR2
Lags interval (in first differences): 1 to 2
Unrestricted Cointegration Rank Test (Trace)
Hypothesized Trace 0.05
No. of CE(s) Eigenvalue Statistic Critical Value Prob.**
None * 0.460549 42.48076 12.32090 0.0000
At most 1 0.035694 2.362514 4.129906 0.1467
Trace test indicates 1 cointegrating eqn(s) at the 0.05 level
* denotes rejection of the hypothesis at the 0.05 level
**MacKinnon-Haug-Michelis (1999) p-values
Unrestricted Cointegration Rank Test (Maximum Eigenvalue)
Hypothesized Max-Eigen 0.05
No. of CE(s) Eigenvalue Statistic Critical Value Prob.**
None * 0.460549 40.11825 11.22480 0.0000
At most 1 0.035694 2.362514 4.129906 0.1467
Max-eigenvalue test indicates 1 cointegrating eqn(s) at the 0.05 level
* denotes rejection of the hypothesis at the 0.05 level
**MacKinnon-Haug-Michelis (1999) p-values
Unrestricted Cointegrating Coefficients (normalized by b'*S11*b=I):
GDPDEFLATER1 LNGDP1OR2
0.679085 -0.459793
3.292929 -0.639723
Unrestricted Adjustment Coefficients (alpha):
D(GDPDEFLATER1) -0.009322 -0.020483
D(LNGDP1OR2) -0.011539 0.000247
1 Cointegrating Equation(s): Log likelihood 244.2149
Normalized cointegrating coefficients (standard error in parentheses)
GDPDEFLATER1 LNGDP1OR2
1.000000 -0.677077
(0.06607)
Adjustment coefficients (standard error in parentheses)
D(GDPDEFLATER1) -0.006330
(0.00955)
D(LNGDP1OR2) -0.007836
(0.00110)
麻烦大家帮我看看是否存在协整哈,万分感谢!谢谢大家哟。。。。