我对lngdp lntdr两个变量进行VAR模型的回归
用SIC准则测出lngdp滞后期长度为4,D(lngdp)滞后期长度为3;lntdr滞后期长度为0,D(lngdp)滞后期长度为0。lngdp~I(1),lntdr~I(1)
变量滞后期为0的能不能用这个模型啊???各位高手帮助一下!
还有这跟VAR Lag Order Selection Criteria 下的滞后期有没有关系啊?
Vector Autoregression Estimates
Date: 04/16/09 Time: 19:57
Sample (adjusted): 1979 2007
Included observations: 29 after adjustments
Standard errors in ( ) & t-statistics in [ ]
LNGDP LNTDR
LNGDP(-1) 0.921268 0.050958
(0.02180) (0.04526)
[ 42.2518] [ 1.12588] T不显著这对回归有影响么??
LNTDR(-1) 0.210268 0.818909
(0.05591) (0.11606)
[ 3.76070] [ 7.05597]
C 1.218346 -0.684579
(0.29107) (0.60420)
[ 4.18569] [-1.13304]
R-squared 0.998575 0.956602
Adj. R-squared 0.998465 0.953264
Sum sq. resids 0.070174 0.302360
S.E. equation 0.051952 0.107839
F-statistic 9110.199 286.5532
Log likelihood 46.19994 25.02056
Akaike AIC -2.979306 -1.518659
Schwarz SC -2.837862 -1.377215
Mean dependent 10.39294 -1.197701
S.D. dependent 1.326202 0.498825
Determinant resid covariance (dof adj.) 2.76E-05
Determinant resid covariance 2.22E-05
Log likelihood 73.06480
Akaike information criterion -4.625159
Schwarz criterion -4.342270
用脉冲影响函数的前提是什么???是root都在标准圆内么?
如果模型不存在协整关系还能用VAR模型么?