我把prirr时间序列的三个模型估计结果贴出来,如下。出现arch效应不显著而garch效应却显著,为什么啊?如果不存在arch效应,那么garch效应应该存在的吗?
esttab `mm', mtitle(`mm') nogap scalar(ll aic bic)
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(1) (2) (3)
GARCH11 ARCH5 ARCH10
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prirr
_cons 0.000680 0.000534 0.000691
(1.48) (1.13) (1.45)
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ARCH
L.arch 0.0460* -0.0111 -0.00542
(2.54) (-0.44) (-0.23)
L2.arch 0.0630 0.0549
(1.61) (1.43)
L3.arch 0.0505 0.0274
(1.76) (0.88)
L4.arch 0.128*** 0.0755
(3.37) (1.95)
L5.arch -0.0178 -0.0108
(-0.74) (-0.38)
L6.arch 0.0420
(1.15)
L7.arch 0.0826*
(2.57)
L8.arch 0.0415
(1.54)
L9.arch -0.00753
(-0.38)
L10.arch 0.0441
(1.41)
L.garch 0.882***
(16.34)
_cons 0.0000146 0.000158*** 0.000131***
(1.86) (12.59) (9.96)
------------------------------------------------------------
N 858 858 858
ll 2449.3 2448.2 2455.1
aic -4890.6 -4882.4 -4886.3
bic -4871.6 -4849.2 -4829.2
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t statistics in parentheses
* p<0.05, ** p<0.01, *** p<0.001