科学技术发展论（长期增长论）

宏观经济新思想序言···················································································· 1

一、科学技术、生产力与社会经济

1、（1）引子：两个比较现实的问题·························································· 5

2、从历史的角度看人类经济发展的源泉和动力··········································· 6

3、科学技术是生产力的实质······································································· 9

4、科学技术的基本特征············································································· 11

5、劳动的实质和劳动的各种表现形式···················································· 12

6、科学技术的衡量方法············································································· 14

7、科学技术的无限发展性········································································· 16

二、科学技术（生产力）在其发展过程中的特征

1、科学技术的总体特征············································································· 18

2、科学技术在发展过程中的具体特征························································ 19

三、科学技术增长论的总体数学模型

1、科学技术增长论数学模型的直接理论来源·············································· 23

2、一些必须澄清的经济学最基本概念························································ 24

3、马克思的社会生产两部类模型的数学化及其深入分析···························· 34

四、对于资本主义宏观经济增长论的主要部分的批判

1、价值源泉的多元论——劳动价值论的根本否定··································· 65

2、西方经济学数学模型变量之间内在关系的混乱性······································ 67

3、投资与储蓄的关系问题············································································ 67

4、关于消费统计量··················································································· 70

5、关于节俭悖论（Paradox of Thrift）·························································· 71

6、自然资源、产品、劳动、劳动者、所有权、产出占有者···························· 72

7、孤立静止与形而上学性············································································ 75

8、违反发展规律的自私自利性··································································· 76

9、主观上的唯心主义·············································································· 77

五、科学技术增长的内生性与外生性

1、历史宏观上的外生趋势··········································································· 85

2、科学技术发展的内生性············································································· 87

六、关于均衡论——系统条件性、经济过热、泡沫经济

1、效率最优化均衡···················································································· 89

2、阶级性与形而上学性的帕累托最优境界······················································· 90

3、一个比较全面的社会生产体系最优化均衡理论········································· 92

4、系统最优化的动态均衡标准··········································································· 100

5、泡沫经济与经济过热·············································································· 106

七、关于循环论——产品的生产、耗费、消费；劳动力的生产与再生产

1、关于社会生产与再生产过程的全面动态考察············································· 114

2、生产——扩大再生产发展式循环过程顺利实现的充分与必要条件················ 116

3、中国经济学循环论精髓：“以人为本”的经济循环··································· 124

八、关于动态发展论——基于科学技术发展论的开放式的数学模型

1、动态经济发展的三个特征········································································· 130

2、趋同与超越··························································································· 131

3、形而上学的西方经济学的发展特征························································ 132

九、关于中国经济学——研究对象主体与范围、指导思想、确立目标

1、中国经济学的指导思想············································································· 132

2、中国经济学新思想的直接理论来源··························································· 133

3、中国经济学研究对象与范围···································································· 134

4、中国经济学新思想所确立的目标····························································· 134

十、产出贡献多元论的实质与批判——旗帜鲜明地批判价值源泉多元论

1、马克思主义政治经济学的“劳动价值论”与

西方经济学的价值论······································································· 135

2、产出贡献多元论的实质··········································································· 136

3、旗帜鲜明的批判价值源泉多元论······························································ 137

4、关于中国经济学······················································································· 138

5、中国经济学的思想灵魂与精髓································································· 139

附件：

1978~2003年度中国宏观经济基本数据表······················································ 141

《科学技术发展论》的哲学理论图示····························································· 142

社会主义生产两部类模型图示······································································· 143

资本主义生产两部类模型图示····································································· 144

经济学首先需要一种规范，是否需要发展马克思经济学本身没有意义，关键是要发展一种符合中国现实的和中国人整体利益的经济学规范。不过，在中国，由于没有真正意义上的利益集团，如何评判这种与中国人整体利益相一致的经济学规范又成为一个难题。

由于这种困难本身，中国的经济学或者是一种乱战，或者又会回到马克思或现代主流经济学。因此，在中国由于没有真正意义上的利益集团，任何经济学的新思想最后也都是没有意义的。